000 AXPZ20 KNHC 270900 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1005 UTC Fri Nov 27 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0900 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 10N85W to 07N93W to 10N113W to 10N127W. The ITCZ continues from 10N127W to beyond 10N140W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is noted from 05N to 08N between 91W and 97W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N to 09N between 80W and 87W, and from 09N to 12N west of 134W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 08N to 15N between 108W and 123W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A broad ridge prevails west of Baja California. Scatterometer data shows fresh NW winds north of 30N in the Gulf of California. Fresh to strong NW winds will develop over the northern Gulf of California today, and spread southward through Sat evening. Seas are expected to build to 5-7 ft in the Gulf of California through Sun. Moderate northerly winds will prevail west of the Baja California peninsula. Large NW swell currently in Baja California Norte waters will spread southward and gradually subside through Sat evening. Peak seas are 12-13 ft west of Baja California Norte this morning. A strong cold front expected to move across the Gulf of Mexico this weekend will induce gale force winds across Tehuantepec beginning early Mon, then diminish below gale force on Tue. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Fresh NE to E winds will pulse each night in the Papagayo region. Moderate S to SW winds are expected elsewhere south of 10N. Moderate cross-equatorial swell will reach Central America with 6 to 7 ft seas later today, then subside Sun through Tue. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A 1013 mb area of low pressure is centered near 16N125W. Fresh NE winds were noted within 120 nm of the low in the NW quadrant. The low will shift westward today, then dissipate by tonight. A broad ridge extends across the northern waters north of 19N. The gradient between the ridge and lower pressures associated with the convergence zone is supporting moderate to fresh NE trades north of 10N, west of 120W. Seas are 7-9 ft across this area, except 10-13 ft N of 26N in large NW swell. The area of large NW swell will continue to spread southeastward and slowly decay through the weekend. Looking ahead, another pulse of NW swell is forecast to reach 30N140W Sat night through Sun night, with larger NW swell moving southeast into the area next week. $$ Mundell