000 AXPZ20 KNHC 162116 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 2115 UTC Sun Aug 16 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2100 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Post-Tropical Cyclone Ten-E near 14.2N 134.1W, estimated minimum pressure of 1007 mb at 2 PM PDT, and moving NW at 3 kt. Maximum sustained winds 25 kt gusts 35 kt. Scattered showers are within 180 nm W quadrant. Please read the latest NHC Public Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPEP5.shtml and Forecast/ Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMEP5.shtml for more details. Tropical Storm Fausto near 21.5N 121.0W, estimated minimum pressure of 1004 mb at 2 PM PDT, and moving NW at 17 kt. Maximum sustained winds 35 kt gusts 45 kt. Numerous moderate scattered strong convection is noted within 90 nm of the center of Fausto. Scattered showers prevail north of 19N between 119W-127W. Fausto is expected to be short lived as the system will start to move over cooler waters, which will weaken the system. The current forecast has the system becoming a remnant low within the next 2 days. Please read the latest NHC Public Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPEP1.shtml and Forecast/Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMEP1.shtml for more details. T.D. Twelve-E has been upgraded to Tropical Storm Genevieve, centered near 12.2N 99.2W, with estimated minimum pressure of 1004 mb at 2 PM PDT. The storm is moving WNW at 17 kt. Maximum sustained winds 40 kt gusts 50 kt. Numerous moderate scattered strong convection is noted from 08N-18N between 93W-104W. The system is forecast to move NW, parallel to the coast of SW Mexico while intensifying. The current forecast has the system becoming a hurricane during the next 24 hours. Although the tropical cyclone is forecast to remain well offshore of the southern coast of Mexico, large swell generated by the strengthening system are expected to begin affecting portions of the coast of southern Mexico over the next day or so. Please read the latest NHC Public Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPEP2.shtml and Forecast/Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMEP2.shtml for more details. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave axis is near 110W from 03N to 18N, moving W at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 07N to 10N between 105W and 111W. A tropical wave axis is near 123W from 03N to 15N, moving W at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 08N to 15N between 119W and 130W. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 07N78W to 11N94W. It resumes from 11N100W to 12N113W, then again from 12N135W to beyond 10N140W. Aside the convection associated with the tropical waves and the tropical cyclones in the Special Features section above, scattered moderate isolated strong convection is south of 10N and east of 84W, from 06N-12N between 104W-114W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Please see Special Features section above for details about recently developed Tropical Depression Twelve-E. The system will move west- northwest, parallel to the coast of SW Mexico. This system will move across the Mexico offshore forecast zones from Oaxaca and Chiapas northwestward to Punta Eugenia, bringing high winds and rough seas to these offshore waters. Outside of winds associated to tropical cyclone Twelve-E, winds will be in the gentle to moderate range. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Recently developed T.S. Genevieve will continue to move further from the forecast waters and its impact on the area will decrease today. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh S to SW winds will prevail south of the monsoon trough with seas in the 5-7 ft range through the early part of the week. Monsoon flow will freshen by the middle of the week, increasing seas to the 6-8 ft range. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Please see the Special Features section above for information about Post-Tropical Cyclone Ten-E and Tropical Storm Fausto. Outside of these tropical systems, 1016 mb high pressure is centered near 29N132W. Light to gentle winds are in the vicinity of the high center. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate NE winds prevail across the waters N of 15N and W of 120W. Generally moderate to fresh southerly monsoon flow prevails south of the monsoon trough. $$ ERA