400 AXPZ20 KNHC 160907 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 807 UTC Sun Aug 16 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0900 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Tropical Depression Ten-E is centered near 13.4N 133.8W at 16/0900 UTC, moving N at 2 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Scattered moderate convection is within 180 nm of SW quadrant. Maximum seas are 10 ft. A very slow northwestward motion is expected during the next couple of days with little change in strength. Please read the latest NHC Public Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPEP5.shtml and Forecast/ Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMEP5.shtml for more details. Tropical Depression Eleven-E is centered near 19.5N 119.0W at 16/0900 UTC and is moving towards the NNW at 10 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Numerous moderate isolated strong convection from 18N to 21N between 117W and 121W. Scattered moderate convection is in bands elsewhere from 10N to 23N between 115W and 129W. A slightly faster northwestward motion is expected during the next couple of days. Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or two. The depression is expected to become a remnant low by Monday night. Please read the latest NHC Public Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPEP1.shtml and Forecast/Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMEP1.shtml for more details. A tropical wave extends N of 03N with axis near 95W intersecting a 1006 mb low near 11N95W, moving W at 15 kt. Numerous moderate to strong convection is N of 09N between 92W and 102W. This system of low pressure located a few hundred miles SSE of the Gulf of Tehuantepec continue to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm will likely form on Sunday. This system is expected to move generally WNW, well offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next few days. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave extends from 04N to 18N with axis near 108W, moving W at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 06N to 15N between 105W and 110W. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 09N86W to 11N94W to 09N103W to 12N109W, then resumes W of Tropical Depression Ten-E near 11N137W to 10N140W. Aside the convection associated with the tropical waves and the tropical cyclones in the Special Features section, numerous strong convection is from 11N to 16N between 111W and 115W. Scattered moderate convection is from 04N to 11N E of 91W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A 1006 mb low near 11N95W is expected to become a tropical cyclone later today and rapidly develop into a tropical storm while moving west-northwest through the Mexican zones from offshore of Oaxaca and Chiapas northwestward to Punta Eugenia. Current forecast anticipates the system to peak at Storm conditions from Mon night through Thu with seas reaching to 25 ft. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Please see the Special Features section for information about the potential for tropical cyclone formation associated with a low pressure over the Guatemala and El Salvador offshores near 11N95W. This system will bring strong winds and large seas to this offshore waters, with some seas extending to the Nicaragua offshores through tonight. Moderate to fresh S to SW winds will prevail over the remainder offshore zones south of the monsoon with seas to 9 ft. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Please see the Special Features section for information about Tropical Depression Ten-E and Eleven-E. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate NE winds prevail across the waters N of 15N and W of 120W. Generally moderate to fresh SW monsoon flow prevails south of the monsoon trough. $$ Ramos