000 AXPZ20 KNHC 160407 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 319 UTC Sun Aug 16 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0345 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Tropical Depression Ten-E is centered near 13.1N 133.8W at 16/0300 UTC and is stationary. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Scattered moderate convection is within 120 nm of SW quadrant. Maximum seas are 11 ft. The depression has been stationary during the past several hours. A very slow northwestward motion is expected during the next couple of days. Little change in strength is forecast during the next few days. Please read the latest NHC Public Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPEP5.shtml and Forecast/ Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMEP5.shtml for more details. Tropical Depression Eleven-E has formed well off the Baja California Peninsula. Eleven-E is centered near 18.4N 118.6W at 16/0300 UTC and is moving towards the north-northwest at 10 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is from 15N to 22N between 115W and 122W. A slightly faster northwestward motion is expected during the next couple of days. Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or two. The depression is expected to become a remnant low by Monday night. Please read the latest NHC Public Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPEP1.shtml and Forecast/Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMEP1.shtml for more details. A tropical wave extends N of 03N with axis near 93W intersecting a 1007 mb low near 10N93W, moving W at 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is N of 07N between 91W and 101W. This system of low pressure system located a few hundred miles south- southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is showing signs of organization. Although this low is still broad and elongated, environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm will likely form on Sunday. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave extends from 06N to 19N with axis near 107W, moving W at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is from 06N to 15N between 102W and 113W. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 10N97W TO 18N113W TO 12N130W. ASIDE FROM CONVECTION NOTED WITH TROPICAL WAVES AND SPECIAL FEATURES...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 04N TO 09N BETWEEN 80W AND 87W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 120W AND 128W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A 1007 mb low near 10N93W is expected to become a tropical cyclone on Sun and rapidly develop into a tropical storm while moving west-northwest through the Mexican zones from offshore of Oaxaca and Chiapas northwestward to Punta Eugenia. Current forecast anticipates the system to peak at Strong Gale conditions from Mon night through Thu night with seas reaching to 20 ft. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Please see the Special Features section for information about the potential for tropical cyclone formation associated with a low pressure west of Central America near 10N93W. This system will bring strong winds and large seas to the offshore waters of Guatemala, El Salvador, and Nicaragua the rest of this weekend. Winds and seas will subside early next week as the system moves further west of the area. Fresh to strong S to SW winds prevail offshore of Costa Rica and Panama. Seas are generally 6-8 ft in this enhanced monsoonal flow. Fresh winds will pulse overnight across the Gulf of Papagayo region. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Please see the Special Features section for information about Tropical Depression Ten-E and Eleven-E. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate NE winds prevail across the waters N of 15N and W of 120W. Generally moderate to fresh SW monsoon flow prevails south of the monsoon trough. $$ Ramos