000
AXPZ20 KNHC 060217
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Thu Aug 6 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
0200 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave axis is along 86W, north of 01N into Central 
America, moving west at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to strong 
convection is noted from 06N to 13N between 80W and 89W.

A tropical wave axis is along 125W south of 18N, moving west at 
15 kt. Isolated convection noted within 60 nm of the wave axis. 

A tropical wave axis is along 134W south of 18N, moving west at 
15 kt. Isolated convection noted within 90 nm of the wave axis. 

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

The monsoon trough axis extends westward from Panama near 08N78W 
to 10N85W to 11N104W. The ITCZ continues from 11N104W to 
10N140W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is 
occurring from 07N to 14N between 93W and 104W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Scatterometer data shows gentle to moderate NW flow west of Baja 
California, associated with an offshore ridge and a trough along 
the Gulf of California. Gentle to moderate SE winds are over the 
Gulf of California. Winds are light to gentle south of southern 
Mexico, except for moderate to fresh northerly winds in the 
Tehuantepec region.

Fresh NW winds will prevail west of Baja California Norte 
through Sun. Fresh north winds in the Gulf of Tehuantepec will 
strengthen this weekend following the passage of a tropical 
wave. Looking ahead, an area of low pressure is expected to 
develop from this wave south of Mexico over the weekend. 
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for 
development, and a tropical depression may form early next week 
while the system moves generally west-northwestward. This area 
has a high chance of tropical cyclone formation in 3 to 5 days. 
Please see the latest eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather 
Outlook for more information.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Showers and thunderstorms continue along an active monsoon 
trough that extends across the region between 08N-10N. Moderate 
S to SW winds continue south of the trough, with higher gusts 
possible in and near stronger convection. Wave heights remain in 
the 4-6 ft range across the forecast waters. 

Moderate southerly winds will persist south of the trough for 
the next several days. Fresh winds will pulse across the Gulf of 
Papagayo region this weekend following the passage of a tropical 
wave. Long-period southerly swell will build seas near the 
Galapagos Islands on Fri.  

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A broad ridge is analyzed north of 20N, west of 120W. Moderate 
trade winds are noted across most of the area. Seas are 5 to 6 
ft within this region. Little change in marine conditions is 
expected over the next several days. Long-period southerly swell 
will propagate northward into the region late Thu night through 
the weekend. Combined seas are expected to reach 8-9 ft south of 
the equator by Fri morning. 

Please see the latest eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather
Outlook for more information about the potential for tropical 
cyclone formation during the next five days.

$$
Mundell