000
AXPZ20 KNHC 301604
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1541 UTC Thu Jul 30 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1545 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical is N of 02N with axis near 83W, moving 10 to 15 kt. 
Scattered moderate convection is observed N of 05N E of 86W.

A tropical wave is N of 03N with axis near 95W, moving west at 
10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is N of 08N between 
91W and 100W.
 
A tropical wave extends from 03N to 17N with axis near 105W, 
moving west at 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 07N 
to 18N between 100W and 110W. 

A tropical wave extends from 07N to 18N with axis near 125W, 
moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is 
noted from 10N to 17N between 120W and 130W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

The monsoon trough extends from 07N78W to 11N94W to 10N106W to 
16N117W to 10N130W to 11N140W. Scattered moderate convection is 
noted from 12N to 19N between 110W and 120W. Scattered moderate 
to isolated strong convection is observed from 08N to 13N W of 
130W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

High pressure west of Baja California is interacting 
with low pressure over the southwest U.S. to support moderate to
fresh NW winds off Baja California Norte. Seas are 3 to 5 ft off
Baja California. Northwest swell will arrive Fri, resulting in 
combined seas of 4 to 6 ft off Baja California Norte. Little 
change is expected in the winds and seas off Baja California into
early next week.

The low pressure north of the area will deepen slightly Sat, 
supporting fresh to strong southerly winds over the northern 
portion of the Gulf of California. 

Farther south, fresh to locally strong winds will pulse at night
in the Gulf of Tehuantepec into the early part of next week, as
high pressure building north of the area interacts with tropical
waves passing through the region.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

The monsoon trough has reformed along roughly 09N east of 100W.
This will allow increased showers and thunderstorms off Panama
and Costa Rica over the next couple of days, especially as weak
tropical waves migrate westward across the area. A cluster of
showers and thunderstorms continues south of Panama.
 
This pattern will maintain gentle to moderate southerly breezes 
south of the trough, and mostly light and variable winds north of
the trough. The exception will be pulses of fresh offshore winds in
the Papagayo region through Fri. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A ridge of high pressure extends over the waters north of 15N. 
The pressure gradient between the ridge and the monsoon trough 
is supporting moderate NE trade winds north of the monsoon 
trough west of 115W. Seas in this region range between 5 to 7 
ft. Little change is expected into early next week. South of the
monsoon trough west of 120W, fresh southerly flow and cross- 
equatorial southerly swell will support seas of 5 to 9 feet for 
the next several days.

$$
Ramos