000 AXPZ20 KNHC 271947 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1947 UTC Mon Jul 27 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1930 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave axis is along 91W north of 03N into Guatemala, moving west at 5 to 10 kt. Convection previously associated with this wave has diminished. A tropical wave axis is along 111W, from 04N to 17N. It is moving west at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection has developed from 08N to 12N between 108W and 112W. A tropical wave extends along 140W from 02N to 16N, moving west at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 08N to 13N between 132W and 140W. This wave will move out of the area this afternoon. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough axis extends from 09N81W to 12N110W to 10N133W. The intertropical convergence zone axis extends from 10N133W to beyond 06N140W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted from 09N to 16N between 96W and 106W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... High pressure west of Baja California will support generally fresh NW winds north of Cabo San Lazaro into Wed night. A deep layer trough moving into the southwest US will allow pressure to lower north of the region tonight. This pattern will support moderate to fresh winds over the northern Gulf of California Tue and Wed. Similar conditions are possible in the northern Gulf at the end of the week. Farther south, light breezes and southerly swell will persist through the period. The monsoon trough will lift northward to off the coast of southern Mexico by Tue. This will support increased showers and thunderstorms, mainly at night. Looking ahead, pulses of fresh to locally strong gap winds are possible in the Gulf of Tehuantepec region Fri night through Sun. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR.. The monsoon trough is lifting northward to a position parallel to the coast of Central America by Tue. This pattern will maintain scattered thunderstorms and gentle to moderate southerly winds. Pulses of fresh offshore winds are likely in the Papagayo region Tue through Fri. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A ridge of high pressure extends over the waters north of 20N. The pressure gradient between the ridge and the monsoon trough/ITCZ is supporting moderate NE trade winds north of the monsoon trough west of 120W with seas in the 5 to 7 ft range. Meanwhile, cross-equatorial southerly swell E of 125W will support seas of 5 to 7 feet through the week. $$ KONARIK