000 AXPZ20 KNHC 251449 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1445 UTC Sat Jul 25 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1430 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave that is mainly in the eastern Caribbean is crossing Panama and Colombia and entering the Gulf of Panama, moving W at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is between 03N and 09N E of 85W. A tropical wave axis is near 92W, from 02N into southern Mexico, moving west at 15 kt. Numerous moderate to scattered strong convection is noted from 06N to 09N between 87W and 98W. A tropical wave is along 110W from 02N to 18N moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted from 06N to 10N between 103W and 111W. A weak tropical wave extends from 02N to 18N with axis near 120W, moving westward at 15 kt. No significant convection is noted near this wave. A tropical wave extends from 02N to 18N with axis near 131W, moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 06N to 11N between 127W and 136W. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough axis extends from 10N84W to 11N115W to 07N135W. The intertropical convergence zone continues from 07N135W to beyond 08N140W. Aside from what is noted in tropical waves section above, scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is observed from 07N to 12N between 114W and 120W. Scattered moderate convection is also noted from 07N to 13N between 136W and 140W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... High pressure west of Baja California will support moderate to locally fresh NW winds north of Cabo San Lazaro into late week. A deep layer trough moving into the southwest US will allow pressure to lower pressure north of the region by Tue. This pattern will support moderate to fresh winds over the northern Gulf of California into late week. Farther south, light breezes and southerly swell will persist through the period. Looking ahead, the monsoon trough will lift northward to off the coast of southern Mexico by Tue. This will support increased showers and thunderstorms, mainly at night. At the same time, a strong tropical wave may impact the waters offshore from Guerrero southward into midweek. Pulses of moderate to locally fresh gap winds are possible in the Gulf of Tehuantepec region Wed and Thu nights. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR.. The monsoon trough is currently along roughly 10N, but will lift northward early in the week to a position parallel to the coast of Central America. This pattern will maintain scattered thunderstorms and gentle to moderate southerly winds. Meanwhile long period SW swell will gradually subside off Central America by Mon. Pulses of moderate to locally fresh offshore winds may occur in the Papagayo region Mon night and again Wed night. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A ridge of high pressure extends over the waters north of 20N. The pressure gradient between the ridge and the monsoon trough/ITCZ is supporting moderate NE trade winds north of the monsoon trough west of 120W with seas in the 5 to 7 ft range. Meanwhile, cross- equatorial southerly swell will continue to move into region, occasionally supporting combined seas nearing 8 ft east of 115W through tonight. $$ KONARIK