000 AXPZ20 KNHC 241936 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1945 UTC Fri Jul 24 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1930 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave axis is near 87W, from 02N into Nicauragua, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Numerous moderate to scattered strong convection is noted from 05N to 10N between 81W and 89W. Low pressure may form in association with this wave this weekend or early next week south of the southern coast of Mexico. A tropical wave is along 105W, N of 02N into Colima, Mexico, moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted from 05N to 12N between 99W and 105W. A weak tropical wave extends from 02N to 18N with axis near 116W, moving westward at 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 06N to 11N between 109W and 117W. A tropical wave extends from 02N to 18N with axis near 127W, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is from 07N to 13N between 123W and 130W. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough axis extends from 10N79W to 09N107W to 11N135W. Aside from what is noted in tropical waves section above, scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is observed from 05N to 11N between 89W and 98W. Scattered moderate convection is also noted from 05N to 10N between 105W and 108W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Mainly moderate northwest winds are expected west of Baja California into the middle of next week. Some moderate SE winds are possible early next week in the Gulf of California, with mainly gentle winds expectd elsewhere through the middle of next week as weak high pressure dominates. A strong tropical wave may impact waters south of Mexico this weekend into early next week. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR.. Widespread showers and thunderstorms associated with an active monsoon trough and the passage of tropical waves into the eastern Pacific will continue through early next week for the offshore waters of Nicaragua, Costa Rica and Panama. The strongest tropical wave will move west of the area Sunday. Moderate to fresh southerly winds will persist south of 09N through Sat. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Major Hurricane Douglas has moved well west of the area, but is still producing some 20-30 kt winds, 12-14 ft seas, and scattered thunderstorms from about 15N to 21N W of 138W, and a broader area of 8-12 ft seas. Douglas will continue moving west away from the into tonight, with winds subsiding, thunderstorms ending, and seas falling below 12 ft by this evening. Seas will diminish to below 8 ft late tonight. A ridge of high pressure extends over the waters north of 20N. Outside of conditions associated with Hurricane Douglas, the pressure gradient between the ridge and the monsoon trough is supporting moderate NE trade winds north of the monsoon trough west of 120W with seas in the 5 to 7 ft range. Meanwhile, cross- equatorial southerly swell will continue to move into region, occasionally supporting combined seas nearing 8 ft east of 120W tonight and Sat. $$ KONARIK