000 AXPZ20 KNHC 240238 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 152 UTC Fri Jul 24 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0300 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Major Hurricane Douglas is centered near 14.9N 138.8W at 24/0300 UTC moving WNW at 16 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 954 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 115 kt with gusts to 140 kt. Scattered moderate to strong convection is observed within 90 nm of the center of Douglas. A band of moderate to strong convection is also noted east of the center, from 12N to 16N between 134W and 136W. On the forecast track Douglas will approach the Hawaiian Islands on Sunday. Douglas is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir- Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Gradual weakening expected to begin tonight and continue through the weekend Please read the latest NHC Public Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPEP3.shtml and Forecast/ Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMEP3.shtml for more details. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave is N of 03N with axis near 81W, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is note from 05N to 07N between 84W and 88W. A tropical wave is along 98W/99W, N of 02N into southern Mexico, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is noted. A tropical wave extends from 03N to 18N with axis near 107W, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is noted. A tropical wave extends from 03N to 18N with axis near 121W, moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to strong convection is from 10N to 15N between 121W and 125W. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough axis extends from 10N83W to 09N95W to 12N130W. For information on convection see the special features and tropical waves sections. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Gentle to moderate northwest winds are expected west of Baja California through Sun. Moderate to fresh southerly winds are expected in the northern Gulf of California through Fri night, with gentle to moderate winds elsewhere in the gulf. Light variable winds are expected elsewhere. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Widespread showers and thunderstorms associated with an active monsoon trough and the passage of Caribbean tropical waves into the eastern Pacific will continue into the weekend, for the offshore waters of Nicaragua, Costa Rica and Panama. Moderate to fresh southerly winds will persist south of 09N through Sat. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Please see the Special Features section above for information on Major Hurricane Douglas. A ridge of high pressure extends over the waters north of 20N. Outside of conditions associated with Hurricane Douglas, the pressure gradient between the ridge and the monsoon trough is supporting moderate NE trade winds north of the monsoon trough west of 120W with seas in the 5 to 7 ft range. Winds in this region are forecast to increase to moderate to fresh over the weekend as the ridge strengthens. Meanwhile, cross-equatorial southerly swell will continue to move into region, occasionally supporting combined seas nearing 8 ft east of 120W. $$ Christensen