000 AXPZ20 KNHC 232206 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 2141 UTC Thu Jul 23 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2145 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Major Hurricane Douglas is located near 14.1N 137.3W at 2100 UTC, moving west-northwest at 16 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 959 mb. Maximum sustained winds are 110 kt with gusts to 135 kt. Numerous moderate to strong convection is from 13N to 15N between 135W and 138W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is elsewhere in bands from 11N to 17N between 133W and 140W. On the forecast track Douglas will approach the Hawaiian Islands on Sunday. Douglas is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Little change in strength is expected today, with gradual weakening expected to begin on Friday and continue through the weekend Please read the latest NHC Public Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPEP3.shtml and Forecast/ Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMEP3.shtml for more details. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave is N of 03N with axis near 79W, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 03N to 10N east of 93W. A tropical wave is along 97W, N of 02N into southern Mexico, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered showers and tstms are from 05N to 10N between 94W and 102W. A tropical wave extends from 03N to 18N with axis near 106W, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered showers and tstms are from 06N to 10N between 108W and 116W. A tropical wave extends from 03N to 18N with axis near 119W, moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to strong convection is from 06N to 15N between 117W and 127W. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough axis extends from 08N83W to 11N104W to 11N128W. For information on convection see the special features and tropical waves sections. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Gentle to moderate northwest winds are expected west of Baja California through Sun. Moderate to fresh southerly winds are expected in the northern Gulf of California through Fri night, with gentle to moderate winds elsewhere in the gulf. Light variable winds are expected elsewhere. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Widespread showers and thunderstorms associated with an active monsoon trough and the passage of Caribbean tropical waves into the eastern Pacific will continue into the weekend, for the offshore waters of Nicaragua, Costa Rica and Panama. Moderate to fresh southerly winds will persist south of 09N through Sat. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Please see the Special Features section above for information on Major Hurricane Douglas. An area of low pressure is likely to form south of the southern coast of Mexico and portions of Central America over the weekend. Some development of this system is possible early next week while it moves generally west-northwestward. Otherwise, high pressure centered NW of the area extends a ridge into the northern waters. Outside of conditions associated with Hurricane Douglas, the pressure gradient between the ridge and the monsoon trough is supporting moderate NE trade winds north of the monsoon trough west of 120W with seas in the 5 to 7 ft range. Winds in this region are forecast to increase to moderate to fresh over the weekend as high pressure N of the forecast waters strengthen. $$ Ramos