000 AXPZ20 KNHC 222207 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 2136 UTC Wed Jul 22 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2145 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Hurricane Douglas is located near 12.1N 130.9W at 2100 UTC, and is moving to the west at 14 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb. Maximum sustained winds are 70 kt with gusts to 85 kt. Numerous moderate to strong convection is from 10N- 13N between 129W-133W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is elsewhere from 05N-15N between 126W-134W. A turn toward the west-northwest is expected by this evening, and a west-northwestward motion at a faster forward speed is forecast to continue into the weekend. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next day or two, and Douglas could become a major hurricane on Thursday. Please read the latest NHC Public Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPEP3.shtml and Forecast/ Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMEP3.shtml for more details. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave is N of 01N with axis near 91W, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is N of 03N E of 94W. A tropical wave is N of 01N with axis near 100W, moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is N of 06N between 97W-108W. A tropical wave extends from 03N-18N with axis near 114W, moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 07N-11N between 110W and 120W. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough axis extends from 08N83W to 09N95W to 10N109W then resumes near 08N133W to 06N140W. For information about convection see the tropical waves and special features sections above. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Gentle to moderate northwest winds expected west of Baja California through Sun with locally fresh winds along the central Baja coastal waters mainly at night. Moderate to fresh southerly winds are expected in the northern Gulf of California through Fri night with gentle to moderate winds elsewhere in the gulf. Light variable winds are expected elsewhere. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Widespread heavy showers and tstms associated with an active monsoon trough and the passage of tropical waves into the eastern Pacific will continue into the weekend for the offshore waters of Costa Rica, Panama and Colombia. Moderate to fresh southerly winds will persist south of 09N through Friday morning when winds will increase to fresh to locally strong. Strong southerly winds between the monsoon axis and the Equator with building seas will persist through Sat. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Please see the Special Features section above for information on Hurricane Douglas. The remnant low of Post-Tropical Cyclone Seven-E centered near 19N137W lacks deep convection. The low is expected to continue weakening and move west of 140W tonight. High pressure located well north of the area extends a ridge into the northern waters. Outside of conditions associated with Hurricane Douglas, the pressure gradient between the high and the monsoon trough is supporting moderate trade winds north of the monsoon trough east of about 115W, along with seas in the 5 to 7 ft range. $$ Ramos