000 AXPZ20 KNHC 221604 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1541 UTC Wed Jul 22 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1545 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Douglas strengthened to a hurricane at 1500 UTC. Its center is near 11.8N 129.5W, moving west at 13 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb. Maximum sustained winds are 65 kt with gusts to 80 kt. Numerous moderate to strong convection is from 10N-14N between 128W-131W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is elsewhere from 05N-15N between 125W-135W. A turn toward the west-northwest with an increase in forward speed is expected tonight, and this motion should continue for the next several days. Additional strengthening is expected during the next day or two. Some weakening could begin on Friday once Douglas begins to move over cooler waters. Please read the latest NHC Public Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPEP2.shtml and Forecast/ Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMEP2.shtml for more details. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave is N of 01N with axis near 90W, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate to strong convection is from 04N-16N between 85W-97W. A tropical wave is N of 02N with axis near 99W, moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is N of 12N between 100W-105W. A tropical wave extends from 05N-17N with axis near 114W, moving westward at 15 kt. No deep convection is associated with this wave. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough axis extends from 08N78W in Panama to 09N87W to 10N109W then resumes near 07N131W to 06N140W. Aside from the convection associated with the tropical waves and Hurricane Douglas, scattered moderate convection is N of 01N E of 84W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... The gradient between high pressure that ridges east-southeast from the northeast Pacific and a trough across Baja California is supporting fresh northwest winds west of Baja California Norte. Moderate to fresh southerly winds are expected east of the trough in the northern Gulf of California through Fri. Gentle to locally moderate winds will continue elsewhere through the weekend. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Widespread showers associated with an active monsoon trough and tropical waves passing across Central America into the eastern Pacific will continue into the weekend. Fresh south to southwest winds will persist south of the monsoon trough axis, along 08N to 09N, through Sun, with gradually building seas of 6 to 7 ft expected. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Please see the Special Features section above for information on Hurricane Douglas. The remnant low of Post-Tropical Cyclone Seven-E centered near 19N137W lacks deep convection. The low is expected to continue weakening and move west of 140W tonight. High pressure located well north of the area extends a ridge into the northern waters. Outside of conditions associated with Hurricane Douglas, the pressure gradient between the high and the monsoon trough is supporting moderate trade winds north of the monsoon trough east of about 115W, along with seas in the 5 to 7 ft range. $$ Ramos