000 AXPZ20 KNHC 140247 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0300 UTC Tue Jul 14 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0200 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Tropical Depression Six-E is centered near 17.0N 114.4W at 14/0300 UTC moving W at 15 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection exists from 06N to 18N between 111W and 119W. The system should continue this general motion for the next few days. Some slight strengthening is expected during the next 36 hours, and the depression could become a tropical storm later tonight or on Tuesday. Please read the latest NHC Public Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPEP1.shtml and Forecast/ Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMEP1.shtml for more details. ...TROPICAL WAVES... The axis of a tropical wave is beginning to emerge out of the Caribbean along 80W in the Gulf of Panama, moving W at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 04N to 09N E of 80W. The axis of a tropical wave is near 96W, from 02N to the Gulf of Tehuantepec, moving W at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 07N to 16N between 90W and 98W. The axis of a tropical wave is near 124W, from 02N to 19N, moving W at 10 to 15 kt. No significant deep convection is noted in association with this tropical wave. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from near 09N81W to 10N110W to 10N140W. Aside from the convection noted in the tropical waves and special features sections, scattered moderate convection is noted from 06N to 10N between 80W and 85W, from 07N to 11N between 106W and 111W, and from 09N to 13N between 135W and 140W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... See Special Features section above for details on Tropical Depression Six-E. With the center of the depression now just west of the offshore waters, well SW of Cabo San Lucas, any remaining higher winds and seas will improve by Tue. A low pressure trough deepening over Baja California is producing fresh to strong SE winds in the Gulf of California through Tue with peak seas around 6 ft. By mid-week, the gradient between this trough and a high pressure building in from the NW will lead to fresh to strong winds along the west coast of Baja California. High pressure building into the Gulf of Mexico Thu and Fri will likely lead to strong gap winds in and downwind of the Gulf of Tehuantepec from early Fri into Sun. While current guidance suggest near- gale conditions late Fri through Fri night, peak seas are anticipated to reach around 8 ft due to the limited area and duration of these gap winds. No significant long-period swell are expected in the Mexican offshore zones for at least the next several days. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Moderate to fresh NE to E winds are expected in the Papagayo region through Fri night, with locally strong winds likely during the overnight and early morning hours. Peak seas Tuesday through Friday should be 6 to 7 ft. Moderate to fresh monsoonal SW winds will prevail over the waters S of 10N into late week with peak seas near 5 to 6 ft. No significant long-period swell are expected in the Central American and equatorial offshore zones for at least the next several days. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... See Special Features section above on Tropical Depression 6-E, now located a few hundred miles SW of the Revillagigedo Islands and is expected to move quickly west across the basin into late week. Low pressure 1008 mb near 22N131W will continue to move west and be out of the area by Wed night. On the north side of the low, a broad area of strong E winds as well as seas up to 10 ft prevail. Conditions will only gradually improve late in the week. A 1031 mb high is centered well northwest of our waters near 40N148W with ridging extending southwestward to 27N120W. Moderate S winds south of the monsoon trough between 110W and 120W are combining with some SW swell to produce combined seas of 7 to 9 ft. These will progress westward before diminishing on Friday. $$ KONARIK