000 AXPZ20 KNHC 132157 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 2130 UTC Mon Jul 13 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2130 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Tropical Depression Six-E is centered near 16.6N 112.6W at 13/2100 UTC moving W at 14 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection exists within 180 nm in the SW semicircle. The system should continue this general motion for the next few days. Some slight strengthening is expected during the next 48 hours, and the depression could become a tropical storm later tonight or on Tuesday.Please read the latest NHC Public Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPEP1.shtml and Forecast/ Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMEP1.shtml for more details. ...TROPICAL WAVES... The axis of a tropical wave is near 93W, from SE Mexico southward, moving W at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 07N to 13N between 90W and 97W. The axis of a tropical wave is near 122W, from 19N southward, moving W at 10 kt. No significant deep convection is noted in association with this tropical wave. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from near 09N84W to 10N110W to 10N140W. Aside from the convection noted in the tropical waves and special features sections, scattered moderate convection is noted north of 07N east of 83W as well as from 08N-11N between 110W-115W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... See Special Features section above for details on Tropical Depression Six-E. A low pressure trough deepening over Baja California is producing fresh to strong SE winds in the Gulf of California today and tomorrow with peak seas around 5 ft. A Tehuantepec gapwind event may occur beginning on Friday forced by high pressure in the Gulf of Mexico. While current guidance suggest near- gale conditions late Friday and early Saturday, peak seas are anticipated to reach around 8 ft due to the limited area and duration of these gap winds. No significant long-period swell are expected in the Mexican offshore zones for at least the next several days. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Moderate to fresh NE to E winds are expected in the Papagayo region through Friday, with locally strong winds likely during the overnight and early morning hours. Peak seas Tuesday through Friday should be 6 to 7 ft. Moderate to fresh monsoonal SW winds will prevail over the waters S of 10N through mid-week with peak seas near 5 ft. No significant long-period swell are expected in the Central American and equatorial offshore zones for at least the next several days. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... See Special Features section above on the fast moving low pressure well south of Mexico that has a medium potential of tropical storm formation into Wednesday. This low is expected to track west along roughly 17N this week. The remnant low of Cristina continues as a 1008 mb low near 21N130W. A Scatsat scatterometer pass this afternoon showed that 30 kt peak winds continue in the northern semicircle. Scattered showers persist within 120 nm of the center. The low should gradually wind down and open up into a trough by Wednesday. Peak seas are currently near 12 ft, dropping to near 8 ft by Wednesday before moving west of our border by Thursday. A 1031 mb high is centered well northwest of our waters near 40N148W with ridging extending southwestward to 27N120W. The pressure gradient between the ridge and the monsoon trough to the south is forcing NE moderate to fresh trades northwest of the the remnant low of Cristina. Moderate S winds south of the monsoon trough between 110W and 120W are combining with some SW swell to produce combined seas near 8 ft. These will progress westward before diminishing on Friday. $$ Landsea