000 AXPZ20 KNHC 120255 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0300 UTC Sun Jul 12 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0200 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Tropical Storm Cristina is centered near 20.6N 122.2W at 12/0300 UTC moving W at 12 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 50 kt with gusts to 60 kt. Numerous moderate scattered strong convection is noted within 120 nm of the center. Scattered moderate convection is also noted from 12N to 21N between 112W and 123W. A weakening trend is forecast to continue while Cristina tracks to the WNW. Please read the latest NHC Public Advisory at: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPEP5.shtml and Forecast/ Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMEP5.shtml for more details. ...TROPICAL WAVES... The axis of tropical wave is near 84W, from N of 4N to Costa Rica, moving W at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to strong convection is noted over forecast waters from 04N to 11N between 79W and 88W. The axis of a tropical wave is near 100W, N of 02N to Guerrero, Mexico, moving W at 10 kt. Scattered moderate to strong convection is noted from 06N to 17N between 98W and 106W.There is currently a medium of tropical cyclone development in association with this wave over the next 2 days, and a high probability of development within the next 5 days. Please refer to the latest Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook for more information. The axis of a tropical wave is near 110W, from 02N to 20N, moving W at 10 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 03N to 11N between 106W and 115W. The axis of a tropical wave is near 138W from 02N to 19N, moving W at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 10N to 15N between 130W and 140W. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from near 09N81W to 10N95W to 16N113W. It then resumes W of Cristina near 13N124W to beyond 12N140W. Aside from convection noted in the tropical waves section, scattered moderate convection is noted from 01N to 10N between 90W and 94W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... High pressure building west of the Baja California peninsula in the wake of Tropical Storm Cristina will prevail through the middle of next week. This will support gentle to moderate NW winds west of the Baja California peninsula. Light to gentle winds will prevail over the Gulf of California this weekend. Winds will freshen over the Gulf of California for the first half of next week. Fresh mainly offshore winds are forecast in association developing low pressure offshore from Acapulco to Manzanillo through Mon. A strong tropical wave may impact the waters off southern Mexico Wed or Thu. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Moderate to fresh NE to E winds are expected in the Papagayo region through early this week. Some locally strong winds are possible mid-week. Moderate to fresh SW winds will prevail through mid-week S of 10N. Seas will be mainly 4 to 7 ft in S-SW swell during this period. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Please see the Special Features section for information on Tropical Storm Cristina. Outside of Cristina, a surface ridge dominates the northern waters, with moderate to fresh N-NE winds across the area, and seas of 4 to 6 ft. Cristina will continue to weaken the next couple of days as the system moves W-NW south of the ridge. Despite the weakening tropical system, the pressure gradient over the NW waters will tighten through early next week. This will result in a large area of fresh to locally strong N-NE winds and building seas. Low pressure may track W roughly along 15N during the early to middle portions of the week. $$ KONARIK