000 AXPZ20 KNHC 190305 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0405 UTC Fri Jun 19 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0300 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave is analyzed along 90W, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 06N to 10N between 86W and 95W. A tropical wave is analyzed along 101W, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 07N to 09N between 100W and 102W. A tropical wave is analyzed along 121W/122W, moving west at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate to strong convection is noted from 09N to 15N between 118W and 125W. A tropical wave is analyzed along 138W/139W, moving west at 15 kt. Isolated convection is noted within 60 nm of the wave axis. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 09N76W to 10N93W to 13N123W to 10N140W. Convection occurring near the tropical waves is described above. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted elsewhere from 08N to 11N between 106W and 117W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Scatterometer wind data shows mainly light to gentle winds west of the Mexico coastline. A deep layer ridge west of the area is building eastward following a sharp trough extending from the southern Rockies through central Baja California to 22N130W. The associated pressure gradient supports moderate to fresh SW winds in the northern Gulf of California, and moderate to fresh NW winds from Punta Eugenia to Cabo San Lucas, Baja California. The gradient across the northern Gulf of California will relax Fri as the ridge continues to build eastward. NW swell producing 6-7 ft seas W of Baja California Norte will subside overnight. Looking ahead, moderate to fresh NW winds are expected across the waters of Baja California S of Punta Eugenia through the weekend as a ridge builds into the area. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Gentle to moderate SW monsoon flow prevails south of the monsoon trough, with gentle to moderate winds north of the trough axis. Seas are generally in the 4-6 ft range. Cross-equatorial long period SW swell is expected to arrive tonight and Fri. Winds S of the monsoon trough will also increase to moderate to fresh tonight through Fri evening and spread to the coasts between the Gulf of Panama and Costa Rica. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A ridge extends E-SE from high pressure centered near 35N140W to just north of the Revillagigedo Islands. The associated pressure gradient is supporting fresh trade winds from 10N to 20N west of 120W. Seas are 6 to 8 ft range across this area in mixed swell. Moderate to fresh trade winds and 5-7 ft seas prevail elsewhere north of the convergence zone, west of 120W. Moderate southerly flow prevails south of the monsoon trough. Long-period southerly swell dominates the waters south of 12N and east of 115W, in 6 to 8 ft seas. Another round of southerly swell will enter the area tonight and Fri, and raise sea heights 1-2 ft across the waters south of 10N. $$ Mundell