000 AXPZ20 KNHC 060636 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0630 UTC Wed May 6 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0615 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... A surface trough extends from 09N82W to 09N104W. The ITCZ extends from 10N112W to 09N126W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted from 03N to 10N between 81W and 91W and from 06N to 12N between 101W and 116W. Scattered moderate convection is located from 05N to 10N between 129W and 140W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Gentle to moderate westerly breezes and 3 to 5 ft seas persist across the Mexican offshore waters south of 20N. Smoke from agricultural burning may impact visibility near the shore, especially offshore Chiapas and Oaxaca. For the forecast, a late season cold front moving through the Gulf of Mexico will deliver near gale force gap winds into the Gulf of Tehuantepec tonight and Thu night with seas building to 11 ft. Seas generated by the northerly gap winds will mix with longer period southerly swell reaching the area late Thu. More gap winds could develop in the Gulf of Tehuantepec Sun. Farther north, a ridge extends 1025 mb surface high pressure near 32N137W to NW of the Revillagigedo Islands. Moderate to fresh NW winds are occurring to the east of the ridge offshore Baja California Norte. Seas are 8 to 10 ft off Baja California Norte, mainly north of 29N, with NW swell. Gentle to moderate winds and 5 to 7 ft seas are noted elsewhere. NW swell will persist off Baja California Norte into Thu night, while winds will diminish by Thu. Some moderate SE winds could develop in the Gulf of California Thu night and Fri. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Moderate gap winds are occurring in the Papagayo region. Elsewhere light to gentle winds prevail. Seas are 4 to 6 ft through the region. Fresh gap winds will pulse Wed night in the Papagayo region , before increasing to strong Thu night as high pressure builds north of the area. SW long period swell will reach the Galapagos Islands Thu and Fri, and may reach some waters off Central America Fri night into the weekend. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Northerly swell associated with strong winds off the coast of southern California are moving into the waters west of Guadalupe Island, north of 25N and east of 125W. 1025 mb high pressure centered farther west near 32N137W is supporting moderate to fresh trade winds farther south into the deep tropics. Seas are 6 to 8 ft elsewhere. The swell is expected to taper off into late week, with seas diminishing below 8 ft Thu night. A weak trough has developed along the ITCZ west of 127W, and will drift westward through late week. Meanwhile Southern Hemispheric long period SW swell will move across the equator east of 125W this evening, bringing 8 to 10 ft seas south of 11N and east of 125W by late Fri. This swell will subside below 8 ft Sat evening. $$ KONARIK