000
AXPZ20 KNHC 020120
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0120 UTC Sat May 2 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0100 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...    

A surface trough extends from 07N77W to 07N85W to 07N97W. The
ITCZ extends from 07N97W to 07N113W to 04N140W. Scattered
moderate isolated strong convection is noted within 180 nm of the
ITCZ between 118W and 135W. Scattered moderate convection is
located within 180 nm of the trough and within 180 nm of the ITCZ
from 97W to 110W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A pulse of strong N gap winds is likely occurring in the Gulf of
Tehuantepec, and afternoon altimeter pass depicts seas in and
downwind of the Gulf of 7 to 9 ft. High pressure is ridging
southeastward well offshore Baja California, and a weak trough
resides over the peninsula. The gradient between the two is 
inducing moderate NW winds offshore Baja California Norte, and 
some moderate S winds are also occurring in the Gulf of 
California. Elsewhere, light to gentle wind prevails. Decaying NW
swell NW of Punta Eugenia is leading to seas of around 8 ft. 
Some visibility restrictions in smoke are likely occurring 
offshore Oaxaca and Chiapas.

The offshore high pressure ridge will persist through the middle
of next week. The gap winds in the Gulf of Tehuantepec will
decrease Sat and dissipate for the remainder of the weekend.
Moderate NW flow to the W of Baja California will increase some
this weekend into early next week as the ridge pushes a bit to 
the E. Another set of NW swell will propagate across the Baja 
California waters Sun night through the middle of next week. 
Smoke from agricultural fires may reduce visibility at times in 
the Tehuantepec region.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

A pulse of strong E gap winds are likely developing this evening
over the Papagayo region; elsewhere, light to gentle winds
prevail. Seas remain 4-6 ft through the region. Moderate smoke 
blankets the offshore waters off Guatemala, El Salvador, and 
Nicaragua, with areas of dense smoke closer to the coast. Dense 
smoke may reduce visibility to 1 nm or less at times. 

Fresh to occasionally strong gap winds will pulse in the 
Papagayo region through Mon, then diminish into the middle of
next week. Dense smoke from agricultural fires in Central 
America will reduce visibility to 1 nm or less at times in the 
waters off Guatemala, El Salvador, and Nicaragua.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A high pressure ridge over the northern waters maintains moderate
to fresh trades over the waters S of 20N W of 120W. Wave heights
peak around 8 ft near 11N137W in mixed NW and SE swell. 
Elsewhere, moderate to locally fresh trades are noted S of the 
ITCZ W of 110W. Gentle winds generally prevail E of 110W, with 
locally higher winds and gusts near ITCZ convection described 
above.

High pressure will prevail across the northern waters through 
the middle of next week. Winds and seas will increase west of 
Baja California Sun night through Wed as high pressure builds NW 
of the region. Elsewhere, freshening trade winds will maintain 
seas to 8-9 ft roughly W of 135W through early Mon.

$$
KONARIK