000 AXPZ20 KNHC 142124 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 2205 UTC Tue Apr 14 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2115 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... A surface trough extends from a 1012 mb low over northwest Colombia northwestward to 09N86W. then southwestward to 05N97W and to 04N107W, where the latest scatterometer data indicates that it transitions to the ITCZ and continues to 07N119W to 04N130W and to beyond 04N140W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is within 180 nm north of the ITCZ between 110W and 115W, within 180 nm south of the ITCZ between 127W and 131W, and within 120 nm north of the ITCZ between 122W and 126W. Scattered moderate convection is within 120 nm south of the trough between 81W and 88W, within 120 nm south of of the ITCZ between 131W-136W and within 60 nm south of the trough between 102W-105W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... High pressure remains west of the Baja California peninsula, while the typical climatological surface trough extends across the Gulf of California. The pressure gradient between these features is allowing for moderate to fresh winds west of Baja California. Gentle to moderate winds continue between Baja California Sur and Cabo Corrientes. Light to gentle winds prevail elsewhere. Wave heights are in the 5-6 ft west of Baja California and also over the open waters off SW and Southern Mexico while seas of 2 ft or less over the Gulf of California. Weak high pressure will prevail west of the Baja California peninsula through Sat. This will support mainly gentle to moderate winds west of Baja California, and light to gentle winds elsewhere. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Light to gentle winds prevail across the offshore waters, with Wave heights in the 4-6 ft range. Moderate to locally fresh offshore gap winds will pulse at night across the Gulf of Papagayo region tonight through Sat. Elsewhere light to gentle winds will prevail. Long period cross-equatorial south to southwest swell will propagating through the regional waters will gradually subside through Thu. Conditions are favorable for locally heavy rainfall to persist over the waters S of 10N, shifting eastward into southern Costa Rica, Panama, western Colombia and northwest Ecuador during the next couple of days. Please refer to forecasts and statements issued by your local meteorological services. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... High pressure, anchored by a strong 1036 mb high center well to the north of the area at 45N132W, is the main feature in control of the weather regime over these waters. The pressure gradient between the high pressure and the equatorial trough is supporting moderate to fresh winds from 05N to 20N and west of 110W. Light to gentle winds are observed elsewhere. Wave heights are in the 6-8 ft range S of 15N and W of 90W, while lower wave heights in the 4-6 ft range are occurring elsewhere. The high pressure is forecast to keep hold of the weather pattern over the northern waters through the end of the week maintaining the same general conditions. Areas of scattered showers and thunderstorms observed mainly to the south of about 10N between 100W and 120W and south of 12N east of 100W are forecast to be rather active through at least Thu as large scale atmospheric conditions remain favorable to sustain and possibly develop additional activity. $$ Aguirre