000
AXPZ20 KNHC 121604
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1517 UTC Sun Apr 12 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...    

A surface trough extends from 07N78W to 05N97W to 01N121W. The 
ITCZ extends from 01N122W TO 0N130W TO 0N140W. Scattered 
moderate to strong convection is noted from 0N TO 09N east of 
100W. Scattered moderate convection is from 02S to 09N between 
100W and 121W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Surface ridging west of Baja California and a generally weak
pressure gradient across the region continue to support moderate
to fresh N to NW winds across the offshore waters of the Baja
peninsula southward to the Revillagigedo Islands and Cabo
Corrientes. Latest surface and model data indicate sea heights in
the range of 3-6 ft. Light to gentle winds, and seas of 3-7 ft 
prevail over the remainder of the open waters off SW and southern
Mexico. In the Gulf of California, gentle to moderate winds
dominate the central and southern portions of the gulf with seas
to 4 ft. 

A surface trough will move will move across the northern Gulf of
California tonight supporting fresh to locally strong winds with
seas to 7 ft. Otherwise, high pressure will prevail west of the 
region through the middle of next week supporting similar
conditions. The pressure gradient will further weaken afterwards
and will support mainly gentle to moderate winds west of Baja 
California, and light to gentle winds elsewhere.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Gentle to moderate gap winds prevail across the Gulf of Papagayo
and the Gulf of Panama. Light to gentle winds prevail elsewhere.
Seas are generally in the 4-5 ft range.

Moist S to SW flow will gradually increase over the forecast 
area through the middle of next week, and large scale 
atmospheric conditions will be favorable for enhanced widespread
convection. Conditions will be favorable for locally heavy 
rainfall to persist over the waters near the equatorial trough 
axis, and shift eastward into southern Costa Rica, Panama, 
western Colombia and northwest Ecuador during the next several 
days. Please refer to forecasts and statements issued by your 
local meteorological services.

Fresh to strong winds are expected to pulse at night in the Gulf
of Papagayo beginning Mon night and continuing through Fri
morning. Otherwise, marine winds and seas will remain mostly 
tranquil across the offshore waters through the middle of the 
week. Long period cross-equatorial S-SW swell will move into the
regional waters by the middle to the week.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure over northern waters
and lower pressure within the equatorial trough is supporting 
moderate to fresh northeast trades, and 7-9 ft seas, from 05N to
21N west of 120W, and moderate to fresh N to NE winds from 05N 
to 20N between 110W and 120W, where seas are 6-7 ft. Winds 
across the trade wind belt will diminish slightly today as high 
pressure over the northern waters weakens slightly. Widespread 
active convection occurring along and north of the equatorial 
trough will continue through the beginning of the upcoming week,
as large scale conditions are favorable for deep convection 
across much of the tropical northeast Pacific E of 120W.

$$
Ramos