000
AXPZ20 KNHC 120246
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
029 UTC Sun Apr 12 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0240 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...    

A surface trough extends from 08N78W to 05N86W to 03N120W. The
ITCZ extends from 03N120W to 01N140W. Scattered moderate to 
strong convection is noted from 02N TO 10N between 83W and 110W.
Scattered moderate convection is from 02N TO 06N between 110W 
and 120W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Fresh to locally strong N to NW winds prevail across the 
offshore waters from Punta Eugenia southward to Cabo Corrientes 
and the Revillagigedo Islands, with seas to 8 ft. Moderate to
fresh winds prevail across the remainder of the waters off Baja
California, with seas in the 5-6 ft range. Gentle to moderate
winds, and seas of 4-6 ft prevail over the remainder of the open
waters off SW and southern Mexico. Gentle to moderate NW to W 
winds and seas of 2-3 ft prevail over the Gulf of California.

High pressure will briefly build southeastward across the waters
of Baja California Sur and western Mexico through tonight. Moderate
to fresh NNW winds will prevail through the weekend across the 
Baja waters, as well as the southern Gulf of California. Moderate
to fresh NW to W winds can be expected offshore from Manzanillo 
to Acapulco. Winds and seas will diminish Sun through Tue as the 
high reorganizes farther west of the region.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Gentle to moderate gap winds prevail across the Gulf of Papagayo
and the Gulf of Panama. Light to gentle winds prevail elsewhere.
Seas are generally in the 4-5 ft range.

Moist S to SW flow will gradually increase over the forecast 
area this weekend as large scale atmospheric conditions become 
favorable for enhanced widespread convection through the middle 
of next week. Conditions appear favorable for locally heavy 
rainfall to persist over the waters near the equatorial trough 
axis, and shift eastward into southern Costa Rica, Panama, 
western Colombia and northwest Ecuador during the next several 
days. Please refer to forecasts and statements issued by your 
local meteorological services.

Otherwise, marine winds and seas will remain mostly tranquil 
across the offshore waters through the weekend. Cross-equatorial 
S-SW swell will move into the regional waters beginning Sun.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

The pressure gradient between high pressure over northern waters
lower pressures near the equator is supporting moderate to fresh
northeast trades, and 7-8 ft seas, from 05N to 21N west of 120W,
and moderate to fresh N to NE winds from 05N to 20N between 110W
and 120W, where seas are 6-8 ft. Winds across the trade wind 
belt will diminish this weekend as the high pressure to the north
weakens. Widespread active convection occurring along and north 
of the equatorial trough will continue through Sun, as large
scale conditions are favorable for deep convection across much 
of the tropical northeast Pacific E of 120W.

$$
AL