000 AXPZ20 KNHC 100830 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1005 UTC Fri Apr 10 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0830 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... A surface trough extends from 07N82W to 02N119W. The ITCZ continues from 02N119W to 04N132W to beyond 04N140W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 04N to 07N between 89W and 100W, and from 06N to 10N between 103W and 120W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Fresh NW winds, associated with high pressure west of the area, prevail from Baja California Sur to Cabo Corrientes, with seas in the 6-7 ft range. Gentle to moderate winds prevail elsewhere west of Baja California Norte. Seas are in the 5-7 ft range over the open waters off Mexico, and 3-5 ft over the southern Gulf of California. High pressure will build west of the Baja California peninsula over the next few days, and support fresh to occasionally strong winds, with 7-8 ft seas, from Baja California Sur to near Cabo Corrientes through tonight. Winds and seas will decrease this weekend as the high shifts slightly southward. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Moderate to fresh offshore gap winds prevail across the Gulf of Papagayo region and the Gulf of Panama. Light to gentle winds prevail elsewhere. Seas are generally in the 5-6 ft range. Moist south to southwesterly flow is expected to gradually increase over the forecast waters as large scale atmospheric conditions become favorable for enhanced widespread convection through the middle of next week. Conditions appear favorable for locally heavy rainfall over southern Costa Rica, Panama, western Colombia and northwest Ecuador the next several days. Please refer to forecasts and statements issued by local meteorological services. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... The gradient between a broad area of high pressure over northern waters and lower pressures near the equator is supporting fresh to locally strong northeast trades, and 8-9 ft seas, from 06N to 15N between 115W and 125W. Moderate to fresh northeast to east trades are found elsewhere from 05N to 25N west of 115W, with 6- 8 ft seas. Winds will start to diminish later today as the high pressure area weakens. Expect active convection along and north of the ITCZ the next few days as atmospheric conditions become favorable across most of the tropical northeast Pacific. $$ Mundell