023 
AXPZ20 KNHC 100240
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Fri Apr 10 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
0230 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...    

A surface trough extends from 08N78W to 04N114W. The ITCZ 
continues from 04N114W to 03N127W to beyond 04N140W. Scattered 
moderate to strong convection is noted from 04N to 08N between 
87W and 120W. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Fresh NW winds, associated with high pressure west of the area, 
prevail from Baja California Sur to Cabo Corrientes, with seas 
in the 6-8 ft range. Gentle to moderate winds prevail elsewhere 
west of Baja California Norte. Seas are in the 5-7 ft range over 
the open waters off Mexico, and 3-4 ft over the southern Gulf of 
California.

High pressure will build west of the Baja California peninsula 
over the next few days, and support fresh to strong winds, with 
7-9 ft seas, from Baja California Sur to near Cabo Corrientes 
through Fri night. Winds and seas will decrease this weekend as 
the high shifts slightly southward.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Moderate to fresh offshore gap winds prevail across the Gulf of 
Papagayo region and the Gulf of Panama. Light to gentle winds 
prevail elsewhere. Seas are generally in the 5-7 ft range.

Moist south to southwesterly flow is expected to gradually 
increase over the forecast waters as large scale atmospheric 
conditions become favorable for enhanced widespread convection 
through the middle of next week. Conditions appear favorable for 
locally heavy rainfall over southern Costa Rica, Panama, western 
Colombia and northwest Ecuador the next several days. Please 
refer to forecasts and statements issued by local meteorological 
services.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

The gradient between a broad area of high pressure over northern 
waters and lower pressures near the equator is supporting fresh 
to strong northeast trades, and 8-10 ft seas, from 06N to 15N 
between 115W and 125W. Moderate to fresh northeast to east 
trades are elsewhere from 05N to 25N west of 115W, with 6-8 ft 
seas. Winds will start to diminish Fri as the high pressure area 
weakens slightly. Expect very active convection along and north 
of the ITCZ as atmospheric conditions become favorable across 
the tropical northeast Pacific.

$$
Mundell