000
AXPZ20 KNHC 092220
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Thu Apr 9 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
2030 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...    

A trough extends from 09.5N82W TO 05N110W. The ITCZ continues 
from 05N110W TO 04N128W TO beyond 04.5N140W. Scattered moderate 
isolated strong convection was noted from 04N to 08.5N between 
85W and 128W. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

High pressure prevails west of the Baja California peninsula.
Fresh winds, with seas in the 6-8 ft range, prevail from Baja 
California Sur to Cabo Corrientes. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate 
winds prevail off the coast of Baja California Norte.
Light to gentle winds prevail elsewhere. Seas are in the 5-7 ft 
range over the open waters off Mexico, and 3-4 ft over the 
southern Gulf of California. 

High pressure will build west of the Baja California peninsula
over the next few days. This will support fresh to strong winds,
and seas of 7-9 ft, from Baja California Sur southward to near 
Cabo Corrientes through the end of the week. Winds and seas will 
decrease by early this weekend as the high pressure shifts 
slightly southward.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Moderate to fresh offshore gap  winds prevail over the Gulf of 
Papagayo region. Moderate to fresh winds prevail over the Gulf 
of Panama. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds prevail. Seas over 
the Gulf of Papagayo region are in the 5-7 ft range. Outside the 
Gulf of Papagayo, wave heights are in the 5-6 ft range. Winds 
will diminish over the Gulf of Papagayo Thursday.

Moist south to southwesterly flow is expected to gradually 
increase over the forecast waters as large scale atmospheric 
conditions become favorable for enhanced convection Thursday 
through the middle of next week. These ingredients appear 
favorable to promote locally heavy rainfall over sections of 
southern Costa Rica, Panama, western Colombia and northwest 
Ecuador during this time period. Please refer to forecasts and 
statements issued by your local meteorological service.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

High pressure prevails over the northern waters. The pressure 
gradient between the area of high pressure and lower pressure in 
the vicinity of the ITCZ is supporting an area of fresh to 
strong northeast to east trades from about 06N to 16N between 
115W and 130W. Wave heights within this area of fresh to strong 
winds are in the 8-10 ft range. Moderate to fresh northeast to 
east trades are elsewhere from 08N to 25N and west of 115W, where
wave heights are in the 6-8 ft range. Elsewhere, trade winds are
in the gentle to moderate range, with wave heights of 5-7 ft. 
Winds will start to diminish slightly Fri as the area of high 
pressure weakens slightly and loosens the pressure gradient. 
Expect very active convection along and north of the ITCZ as 
atmospheric conditions become favorable for very active 
convection across the tropical northeast Pacific.

$$
Stripling