000
AXPZ20 KNHC 061500
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1419 UTC Mon Apr 6 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1400 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A trough extends from 07N80W to 05N91W. The ITCZ continues from
05N91W to 04N106W and again from 05N109W to 06N122W to beyond
05N140W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted
from 03N to 07N from 84W to 105W to 118W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A weak surface ridge extends from west of the area too offshore
Baja California Sur. The pressure gradient between this ridge 
and a surface trough over the Gulf of California is supporting 
gentle to moderate N-NW winds off the Baja California. Fresh to 
strong S to SW winds persist across the northern portion of the 
Gulf of California, while winds are light and variable across the
remainder of the Gulf. Elsewhere, light to gentle NW to W winds 
prevail across the remaining Mexican waters from Cabo Corrientes 
to the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Seas of 4 to 5 ft prevail across the 
open waters off Baja California and SW Mexico. Moderate N gap
winds have started to pulse this morning in the Gulf of
Tehuantepec.

A cold front will approach Baja California and the Gulf of 
California today and Tue and cross the area into mid-week. Fresh
to locally strong SW winds will pulse across the northern Gulf 
of California ahead of the front tonight and Tue night, while 
winds off of Baja California Norte gradually shift W to SW. High 
pressure will build in the wake of the front midweek. Some fresh
to locally strong winds my also develop off Cabo Corrientes
during the middle of the week.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Fresh winds are pulsing this morning over the Gulf of Papagayo
region, with light to gentle winds prevailing elsewhere. SW 
swell is propagating across the southern waters, with seas in the
6-7 ft range between the Galapagos Islands and Ecuador. Seas in 
the 3-5 ft range prevail elsewhere. A western Caribbean high 
pressure ridge will build southward through Wed. The resultant 
pressure gradient will support fresh to strong NE to E gap winds 
across the Gulf of Papagayo region. Long-period SW swell 
prevailing across the southern waters will subside through 
midweek. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A cold front is moving across the far northern waters. The 
pressure gradient between the ridge and lower pressure in the 
vicinity of the ITCZ is supporting mainly gentle to moderate 
tradewinds N of the ITCZ to 22N and W of 120W, where seas of 5-7 
ft prevail.

The cold front will continue to move slowly ESE across the 
waters N of 25N through Tue night, while a weak ridge will 
prevail S and W of the front. This setup will support gentle to 
moderate winds, and seas in the 4-7 ft range over the forecast 
waters N of the ITCZ through Tue. Fresh trade winds will return 
late Tue through mid week as high pressure builds in the wake of 
the front.

$$
KONARIK