000
AXPZ20 KNHC 240900
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Tue Mar 24 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0800 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The ITCZ extends from 05N89W TO 03.5N98.5W TO 03N130W TO beyond 
02N140W. Scattered to locally moderate to strong convection is 
from 02.5N TO 08.5N between 123W AND 136W. Scattered moderate 
convection is from 08.5N TO 10N between 116W and 128W, and from 03N
TO 07.5N W OF 138W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A broad ridge that his built into the region during the past 24
hours will maintain moderate to fresh NW winds across the Baja 
California offshore waters through Tue night. The associated 
pressure gradient will begin to tighten Wed night through Fri as
a low builds in the south-central U.S. and extends southward 
across northern Mexico. This will result in fresh to strong NW 
winds off the Baja peninsula with seas building to 8 to 10 ft 
through Sat. Moderate northerly winds across the southern Gulf of
California tonight will persist through Thu before becoming 
fresh to strong Thu night through Sun. Seas there will also build
to 7-10 ft by early Sat.

Elsewhere, light to gentle variable winds will dominate the
waters between Cabo Corrientes and Tehuantepec through Sat.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

A modest high pressure ridge north of the western Caribbean will
maintain fresh to strong NE to E winds over the Gulf of Papagayo
region through Tue night. Seas will build to around 8 ft at 
night following the period of peak winds. Afterwards, moderate NE
to E winds will pulse to fresh at night through Sat.

Expect gentle to moderate winds to remain elsewhere across the 
offshore waters into mid week, except for the Gulf of Panama,
where moderate northerly winds will pulse to fresh each night
through Tue. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A strong ridge extends from the NE Pacific SE into the 
discussion area, with axis entering the far NW waters. Fading N 
swell moving across the northern waters W of 120W will produce 
seas of 6-8 ft tonight through Tue morning over these NW 
forecast waters. New N swell and fresh N winds will spread across
these waters Wed through Thu raising seas to 7-9 ft.

This strong high pressure ridge continues to tighten the 
pressure gradient between it and the ITCZ, leading to the fresh 
to strong trade winds S of 20N and W of 115W. The parent high of
this ridge will shift SE Tue through Thu night to tighten the
pressure gradient and expand the area of strong trades northward
to 25N and W of 120W. Seas in this region will fluctuate between
8 to 12 ft. A surface trough along 130W N of the ITCZ is aiding
in producing an area of moderate to strong convection from 02.5N
to 08.5N between 123W and 136W. This trough and weather is
expected to shift westward and W of 140W Wed, with the strongest
winds and highest seas expected to the N of the trough during
this time.

$$
Stripling