000 AXPZ20 KNHC 231604 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1512 UTC Mon Mar 23 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1500 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... A surface trough extends from 07N83W to 05N86W. The ITCZ extends from 05N87W to 02N102W to 02N120W to 04N125W to 03N140W. Scattered moderate convection is within 60 nm either side of the ITCZ between 93W and 114W, and from 00N to 10N W of 120W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A generally weak pressure gradient in the region will maintain moderate to fresh NW winds across the Baja California peninsula offshore waters zones through Thu. The pressure gradient will tighten Thu night as a low builds in the south-central CONUS extending southward along Mexico. This will result in fresh to strong NW winds off the Baja peninsula with seas to 10 ft through Sat. Fresh to strong NW winds are also expected along the central and southern Gulf of California Sat morning through Sun night. Across the Gulf of Tehuantepec, northerly strong winds will diminish to light to gentle this afternoon as return flow establishes across the Gulf of Mexico. Elsewhere, light to gentle variable winds will prevail between Cabo Corrientes and Puerto Angel through Sat. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Strong high pressure over the northern Caribbean will maintain fresh to strong NE to E winds over the Gulf of Papagayo region through Tue night. Seas will build to 10 ft at night during the peak winds period. Afterwards, moderate to fresh NE to E winds will pulse at night through Sat. Expect gentle to moderate winds to remain elsewhere across the offshore waters into mid week, except for the Gulf of Panama, where moderate northerly winds will pulse to fresh each night through Tue. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A pair of weakening cold fronts N of 20N will dissipate later today. Long period NW swell behind the fronts supporting seas to 9 ft will gradually subside through Tue morning. High pressure building across the northern waters N of 20N will continue to tighten the pressure gradient between it and the ITCZ, leading to the continuation of fresh to strong trade winds S of 20N and W of 115W through early Sat. Seas in this region will fluctuate between 8 to 12 ft. $$ Ramos