000
AXPZ20 KNHC 211431
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1431 UTC Sat Mar 21 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1415 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A trough extends from 09N80W to 05N92W. The ITCZ is noted from
04N99W to 03N118W to 03N138W. Numerous moderate and scattered
strong convection is noted from 05N to 16N W of 127W. Scattered
moderate convection is from 01N to 04N between 127W and 129W and
from 09N to 14N between 117W and 122W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A 1020 mb high is centered W of Baja California near 26N119W with
a ridge extending SE and offshore the Mexico coast to 22N110W.
Moderate to occasionally fresh NW winds are occurring across all
waters N and W of Colima, including the Gulf of California, with
generally light to gentle winds to the S. Seas are averaging 4 to
7 ft in NW swell. The high center will remain nearly stationary 
and gradually weaken through Sun evening, with little change in 
overall conditions. 

A weakening cold front will move into Pacific waters offshore
Baja California Norte Sun night, then dissipate Mon night over
Baja California Norte. High pressure building in the wake of this
front will lead to fresh to strong NW winds across Gulf and
Pacific waters offshore Baja California much of next week.

A low pressure trough over the Bay of Campeche will lead to
strong N gap winds in the Gulf of Tehuantepec this afternoon
through Sun night. Winds will peak overnight tonight, with near
gale conditions possible. Seas of 8 to 10 ft can be expected.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Strong high pressure over the northern Caribbean will maintain 
fresh to strong NE to E winds, highest during the late nights and
early mornings, over the Gulf of Papagayo region through Tue. 
Seas of 8 to 10 ft can be expected.

Expect gentle to moderate winds to remain elsewhere across the 
offshore waters through early next week. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A cold front that stretches from 30N122W to 22N128W will drift SE
through the weekend and weaken. S of this front, fresh to
occasionally strong trades will prevail N of the ITCZ and W of
120W. Seas will range from 8 to 10 ft in this area, increasing
some early next week as stronger high pressure builds in from 
the north. N of the front, strong NW winds are expected N of 25N
and W of 130W through Sun morning.

$$
KONARIK