000 AXPZ20 KNHC 170127 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0103 UTC Tue Mar 17 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0100 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The ITCZ extends from 07N84W to 03N110W to 06N130W. Numerous moderate and scattered strong convection is noted 03N to 13N between 122W and 140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 03N to 06N between 90W and 105W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A 120 mb high pressure centered near 23N119W will weaken and drift SE through Tue night, allowing a cold front to approach Baja California Norte late tonight. Ahead of the front, locally strong SW winds will impact the northern Gulf of California tonight. Peak seas in this area will reach 4 to 6 ft. Low pressure to the S of Tijuana Mexico will have a trailing cold front that will cross Baja California Tue night and Wed. Strong W winds will follow this front Wed to offshore waters of Baja California, and also in the northern Gulf of California Wed and Wed evening. Strong N gap winds will persist overnight in the Gulf of Tehuanetpec with seas 8 to 9 ft due to high pressure over the Gulf of Mexico. This high will weaken and move east Tue. Elsewhere across the Mexican offshore waters moderate winds and SW swell of 5 ft or less will dominate into late week. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... High pressure over the Caribbean will generally maintain strong NE to E gap winds over the Gulf of Papagayo region through at least Sat night. Fresh N winds will continue across the Gulf of Panama and downstream to 05N into Thu, with locally strong winds likely during the evenings. A moderate S to SW swell currently impacting the waters will subside by late Tue. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... High pressure of 1020 mb centered near 23N119W is contributing to moderate to fresh NE trades N of the ITCZ. Peak seas reach up to 8 ft across the tradewind belt. Little change is expected during the next several days. Low pressure will the area around 30N125W Tue, then move ESE. Strong W winds behind the attendant cold front are forecast N of 25N and E of 133W Tue into Wed. Peak seas should range from 9 to 12 ft. $$ KONARIK