000 AXPZ20 KNHC 162112 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 2040 UTC Mon Mar 16 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2030 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... A surface trough extends from NW Colombia near 08N76W to 05N87W. The ITCZ continues from 05N87W to 04N100W, then resumes from 02N105W to 07N128W. Numerous moderate and scattered strong convection is noted from 03N to 13N between 123W and 140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 03N to 05N between 94W and 98W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... High pressure of 1021 mb 24N120W will move slowly SE and weaken over the next few days, maintaining gentle to moderate NW to N winds W of Baja California into Tue evening. A cold front that will approach Baja California Norte late tonight will generate locally strong SW winds ahead of it over the northernmost Gulf of California. Peak seas in this area will reach 4 to 6 ft. A second cold front, attached to low pressure SE of Tijuana Mexico, will cross Baja California Wed, then weaken into Thu. Strong winds behind the front are expected from Tue night through Wed for waters offshore Baja California Norte. Strong SW winds are also anticipated for the northern Gulf of California ahead of the front Tue night through Wed night. Strong N gap winds will continue over the Gulf of Tehuantepec into early Tue due to high pressure over the Gulf of Mexico. Seas will peak around 8 ft. Elsewhere across the Mexican offshore waters moderate winds and SW swell of 5 ft or less will dominate through Wed. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... High pressure over the Caribbean will generally maintain strong NE to E gap winds over the Gulf of Papagayo region through Saturday. Fresh N winds will continue across the Gulf of Panama and downstream to 05N into Thu, with locally strong winds during the evenings. A moderate S to SW swell currently impacting the waters will subside by late Tue. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... High pressure of 1021 mb centered near 24N120W is contributing to moderate to fresh NE trades N of the ITCZ. Peak seas reach up to 9 ft across the tradewind belt. Little change is expected during the next several days. Low pressure will form SW of San Diego, California, early Tue, then move ESE. Strong W winds behind the attendant cold front are forecast N of 25N and E of 132W Tue through Wed. Peak seas should range from 9 to 13 ft. $$ KONARIK