000 AXPZ20 KNHC 160815 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1005 UTC Mon Mar 16 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0800 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... A surface trough extends from the coast of Colombia near 06N77W to 04N90W. The ITCZ continues from 04N90W to 04N98W, then resumes from 02N103W to 07N128W, then resumes from 04N133W to 03N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 03N to 05N between 94W and 98W, from 05N to 07N between 116W and 121W, and also within 120 nm NW of a line from 10N126W to 10N131W to 06N140W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... High pressure of 1021 mb centered near 27N123W will move SE and weaken over the next few days, maintaining light to moderate NW to N winds W of Baja California through early this week. A cold front that will approach Baja California Norte late tonight will generate will strong SW winds ahead of it over the northernmost Gulf of California. Peak seas in this area will reach 4 to 6 ft. A secondary cold front or reinforcing trough will weaken as it approaches Baja California on Wed, but strong W winds seas of 7 to 9 ft are expected behind for waters offshore Baja California Norte. Ahead of this front, fresh to locally strong SW winds are likely to develop over the northernmost Gulf of California. Strong N gap winds will continue over the Gulf of Tehuantepec through early Tue due to high pressure over the Gulf of Mexico. These winds will peak early this morning, reaching near 30 kt, with seas building to 10 ft. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... High pressure over the Caribbean will generally maintain strong NE to E winds over the Gulf of Papagayo region into Sat. Fresh N winds will continue across the Gulf of Panama and downstream to 05N through Wed night, with the possibility of locally strong winds during the evenings. A moderate S to SW swell currently impacting the waters will subside by late Tue. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... High pressure of 1021 mb centered near 27N123W is contributing to moderate to occasionally fresh NE trades N of the ITCZ. Peak seas reach up to 8 ft and little change is expected during the next several days. Low pressure will form west of San Diego, California Tue, then move E-SE. Strong W winds behind a cold front associated with the low are likely for areas N of 25N and E of 132W Tue and Wed. Peak seas should reach around 9-11 ft. $$ Lewitsky