000
AXPZ20 KNHC 160103
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
042 UTC Mon Mar 16 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0030 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
A surface trough extends from offshore Costa Rica near 09N83W to
05N90W. The ITCZ continues from 05N90W to 04N117W to beyond
02N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 04N to 12N
between 118W and 136W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

High pressure of 1023 mb centered near 25N120W will move
southeast and weaken over the next few days, maintaining light 
to moderate NW to N winds W of Baja California through early this
week. A cold front that will approach Baja California Norte late
Mon night will generate will generate strong SW winds ahead of 
it over the northernmost Gulf of California. Peak seas in this 
area will reach 4 to 6 ft. A secondary cold front will weaken as
it approaches Baja California on Wed, but strong W winds seas of
7 to 9 ft are expected behind for waters offshore Baja 
California Norte. Ahead of this front, fresh to locally strong SW
winds are likely to develop over the northernmost Gulf of
California.

Strong N gap winds will continue over the Gulf of Tehuantepec
through early Tue due to high pressure over the Gulf of Mexico. 
These winds will peak late tonight, reaching near 30 kt, with 
seas building to 10 ft.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

High pressure over the Caribbean will generally maintain strong 
NE to E winds over the Gulf of Papagayo region into Sat. Fresh N
winds will continue across the Gulf of Panama and downstream to 
05N through Wed night, with the possibility of locally strong
winds during the evenings. A moderate S to SW swell currently 
impacting the waters will subside by late Tue.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A 1023 mb high pressure centered near 25N120W is contributing 
to moderate to occasionally fresh NE trades north of the ITCZ. 
Peak seas reach up to 8 ft and little change is expected during 
the next several days. 

Low pressure will form west of San Diego, California Tue, then 
move east-southeast. Strong W winds behind a cold front 
associated with the low are likely for areas N of 25N and E of 
132W Tue and Wed. Peak seas should reach around 9 to 11 ft.

$$
KONARIK