000
AXPZ20 KNHC 152048 AAA
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2047 UTC Sun Mar 15 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2015 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from the Panama/Costa Rica border near
09N82W to 05N90W. The ITCZ continues from 05N90W to 04N120W to
beyond 02N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 04N
to 11N between 118W and 133W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

High pressure of 1023 mb centered near 25N120W extends SE to NW
of the Revillagigedo Islands. This ridge will weaken but move SE
over the next few days, maintaining light to moderate NW to N 
winds W of Baja California through early this week. A cold front 
that will approach Baja California Norte Mon night will generate 
strong SW winds ahead of it over the northernmost Gulf of 
California. Peak seas in this area will reach 4 to 6 ft. A second
cold front moving across Baja California will likely produce 
strong W winds and seas of 7 to 9 ft offshore Baja California 
Norte Wed, along with the possibility of strong winds in the 
northern Gulf of California.

Strong N gap winds will continue over the Gulf of Tehuantepec
through early Tue in respect to high pressure over the Gulf of
Mexico. These winds will peach late tonight, reaching near 30 kt,
with seas building to 10 ft.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

High pressure over the Caribbean will generally maintain strong 
NE to E winds over the Gulf of Papagayo region into next weekend.
Fresh N winds will continue across the Gulf of Panama and 
downstream to 05N through Wed night. A moderate S to SW swell 
currently impacting the waters will subside by Tue evening.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A 1023 mb high pressure centered near 25N120W is contributing 
to moderate to occasionally fresh NE trades north of the ITCZ. 
Peak seas reach up to 8 ft and little change is expected during 
the next several days. 

Significant low pressure is likely develop west of San Diego, 
California Tue then move east-southeast. Strong W winds ahead of
a cold front associated with the low are likely for areas N of 
25N and E of 130W Tue into Wed night. Peak seas should reach 
around 10-12 ft.

$$
KONARIK