000
AXPZ20 KNHC 150827
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Sun Mar 15 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0800 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from near the border of Colombia/Panama
near 07N78W to 05N90W. The ITCZ continues from 05N90W to 02N110W
to 04N127W to 02N140W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong 
convection is noted from 02N to 11N between 122W and 127W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A 1022 mb high pressure centered near 27N121W extends SE toward
the Revillagigedo Islands. This ridge will remain nearly 
stationary through the early part of the week, maintaining light
to moderate NW winds in the Gulf of California and W of Baja 
California. Winds in the northern Gulf of California will become 
strong and SW ahead of a cold front Mon night. Another round of 
strong winds are expected Wed and Wed night as a low pres area
moves closer to the area from the N along with a trailing front
or trough. Also, strong winds are likely expected Wed and Wed 
night offshore Baja California Norte, along with seas of 8-10 
ft.

Expect strong N gap winds over the Gulf of Tehuantepec today 
through early Tue in response to high pres over the Gulf of 
Mexico. These gap winds are expected to peak Mon morning as winds
reach 30 kt and seas build to as high as 10 ft.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

High pressure over the Caribbean will generally maintain strong 
NE to E winds over the Gulf of Papagayo region through the week.
Seas will occasionally build to around 8 or 9 ft with these
winds. Fresh N winds will continue across the Gulf of Panama and
downstream to 05N through the middle of the week. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

N of the ITCZ, moderate to occasionally fresh NE trade winds 
will prevail from 05N to 20N and W of 110W through early week. 
Corresponding seas in this area will range between 7 and 9 ft in 
mixed swell.

Significant low pressure may develop W of San Diego, California 
early Tue then move E-SE. Strong W winds may accompany this low 
for areas N of 25N and E of 130W Tue into early Thu.

$$
Lewitsky