000
AXPZ20 KNHC 141549
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1517 UTC Sat Mar 14 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1440 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from low pres 1012 mb near 09N75W to
05N80W to 07N86W to 00N101W to 01N105W. The ITCZ continues from 
01N105W to 03N118W to 02N135W to beyond 03N140W. A second ITCZ
extends from 01S95W to 02S100W to 03.4W102W. No significant 
convection is currently associated with these features.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A high pressure ridge extending from 30N140W to near the 
Revillagigedo Islands will maintain light to moderate NW to N 
winds W of Baja through Mon night. A cold front crossing Baja 
California Norte will generate strong SW winds over the Gulf of 
California N of 29N before it passes Mon night and again after it
passes Wed and Wed night. Broad surface troughing W of the front
will generate strong W winds and seas of 8 to 10 ft for the 
waters N of 26N and W of Baja Wed night.

Elsewhere from Cabo Corrientes to Puerto Angel, tranquil marine 
conditions generally will prevail through the weekend.

Expect strong N gap winds over the Gulf of Tehuantepec Sun night
through Tue in response to high pres over the Gulf of Mexico.
This gap wind event is expected to peak Mon morning as winds
reach 30 kt and seas build to as high as 10 ft.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

High pres over the Caribbean will generally maintain strong NE 
to E winds over the Gulf of Papagayo region through Wed night. 
Fresh N winds will continue across the Gulf of Panama and 
downstream to 05N through early next week, briefly becoming 
locally strong Mon night. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

N of the ITCZ, moderate to occasionally fresh NE trade winds 
will prevail from 05N to 20N and W of 110W and S of 17N through 
Sun night. Corresponding seas in this area will range between 6 
and 8 ft in mixed swell.

Looking ahead, model guidance suggests a significant low 
pressure system will develop W of San Diego Wed, then head E. The
potential for gale force winds associated with the low exists 
for the NE waters late Wed and Thu.

$$
CAM