000 AXPZ20 KNHC 140121 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0120 UTC Sat Mar 14 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0100 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... A surface trough is located from 08N84W to 01N103W. The ITCZ continues from 01N103W to 02N125W to beyond 04N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 00N to 08N between 114W and 124W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A low pressure trough is located from the northern tip of the Gulf of California SW to near 25N119W. This trough will move east and weaken tonight, then dissipate Fri. Fresh SW winds are occurring over the far northern Gulf of California ahead of this trough, and these winds should diminish by Fri morning. Moderate to fresh NW winds are expected through the weekend over the southern Gulf of California, southward to Cabo Corrientes. Elsewhere from Cabo Corrientes to Puerto Angel, tranquil marine conditions generally will prevail through the weekend. Across the Gulf of Tehuantepec, variable winds and slight seas are expected through Sat evening before northerly gap winds spill across the Gulf Sat night into Sun morning, and peaking near 30 kt. Similar conditions are possible late Sun night into Mon morning. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Fresh NE to E winds will continue across the Gulf of Papagayo region into next week, with nocturnal winds pulsing to around 25 kt across much of the area. Fresh northerly winds are also forecast across the Gulf of Panama extending downstream to near 05N during this time. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... North of the ITCZ, moderate to occasionally fresh NE tradewinds will prevail W of 120W and S of 17N through the weekend, with seas in the area of 6 to 8 ft in N to NW swell. Looking ahead, computer models suggest a significant low pressure system will develop offshore of California over the weekend and dive southward to near 31N by mid week, producing a significant increase in northerly swell and the potential for gale force winds associated with low pressure sweeping into the NE waters late Wed or Thu. $$ KONARIK