000
AXPZ20 KNHC 031445
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1433 UTC Tue Mar 3 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1400 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The ITCZ axis extends from 05N88W to 04N115W to beyond 02N140W.  
No significant convection is noted.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A 1007 mb low pressre centered over the N Gulf of California will
move E and inland while weakening later today. The associated
cold front that extends through the central and southern Gulf and
across the Revillagigedo Islands will also weaken today and
dissipate by Wed as it moves S toward Las Tres Marias. Fresh to
locally strong winds behind this front over Pacific waters
offshore Baja California will diminish as well into this evening.
NW swell is leading to seas of 8 to 15 ft today. This will decay
through tonight, with seas falling below 8 ft Wed. Looking 
ahead, winds in the northern Gulf are forecast to become 
southerly and increase to fresh to strong this weekend.

Gale force Tehuantepec gap wind is likely Thu evening through at
least Sat as a strong cold front crosses the Gulf of Mexico. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Gulf of Papagayo: Fresh to locally strong offshore winds will
occasionally pulse in the Papagayo region through much of the 
week, strengthening by the end of the week into the weekend, with
seas occasionally building to 8 to 9 ft.

Gulf of Panama: Moderate to fresh winds are expected through 
Fri, strengthening this weekend with seas to 8 ft.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

High pressure centered north of the region is supporting a broad
area of fresh to strong winds N of 05N and W of 120W, along with
seas of 8 to 11 ft. As the ridge weakens, winds and seas will
only gradually decrease.

Farther east in the deep tropics, fresh trade winds along with 
swell originating from likely gap winds in the Gulfs of 
Tehuantepec and Papagayo will develop at the end of the week.

Looking ahead, another front is expected to move into the waters
north of 25N west of 130W fri, followed by fresh northerly winds
and northerly swell to 8 ft. 

$$
KONARIK