000
AXPZ20 KNHC 030218
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Tue Mar 3 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0130 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The ITCZ axis extends from 05N88W to 03N100W to 06N110W to
03N117W to 03N140W. No significant convection is noted.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Low pressure over Baja California Norte extends a cold front 
through 26N114W to 22N120W to 21N130W to 22N140W. The front will 
gradually weaken and dissipate as it continues SE over the 
Revillagigedo Islands through Wed. Fresh to strong NW winds will 
follow the front, mainly impacting waters N of Cabo San Lazaro. 
Long period NW swell will accompany the front, with seas of 8 to 
17 ft off the entire Baja California peninsula through Tue. 

Moderate to fresh NW winds in the northern Gulf of California 
will migrate S across the Gulf as the front moves SE. Looking  
ahead, winds in the northern Gulf are forecast to become 
southerly and increase to fresh to strong this weekend.

A gale force Tehuantepec gap wind event is possible Thu night 
through Sat morning as a strong cold front crosses the Gulf of 
Mexico. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Gulf of Papagayo: Fresh to locally strong offshore winds will
occasionally pulse in the Papagayo region through much of the 
week, strengthening by the end of the week into the weekend, with
seas occasionally building to 8 ft.

Gulf of Panama: Moderate to fresh winds are expected through 
Fri, strengthening this weekend with seas to 7 ft.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A cold front is the waters north of 20N, and will continue to
sink S through Tue before stalling and dissipating. High 
pressure N of the cold front is supporting a broad area of fresh
to near gale force winds mainly N of 05N and W of 120W. 
Altimeter satellite data showed seas of 8 to 16 ft in the area 
of these winds. Winds and seas will gradually diminish through 
the week as the pressure gradient slackens. The next cold front 
is forecast to push SE of 30N140W Fri, with fresh to strong winds
and building seas behind it into early Sat, with yet another 
front possibly sinking SE of 30N140W by late Sat.

Farther E in the deep tropics, fresh trade winds along with 
swell originating from earlier gap wind events in the Gulfs of
Tehuantepec and Papagayo will diminish early Tue.

$$
Lewitsky