000
AXPZ20 KNHC 120305
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
214 UTC Wed Feb 12 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0250 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends 07N72W to 02N79W to 03N88W. The ITCZ 
continues from 03N88W to 07N113W to 06N125W to beyond 07.5N140W.
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 04N to 07N between 
94W and 100W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Deep layer moisture is streaming NE on the E side of a mid to 
upper-level trough possessing an axis near 120W. The moisture 
crosses the tip of Baja California Sur then over north central 
Mexico, possibly bringing a few showers into the region.

Fresh to strong NW winds over the offshore waters on both sides 
of Baja California N of 27N will diminish tonight as high 
pressure builds E over the region. NW swell will continue to move
across open waters off Baja California through mid week. A 
relatively light wind regime prevails farther south off the coast
of central and southern Mexico, and altimeter passes from that 
area show seas of 4 to 6 ft. 

A cold front entering the Gulf of Mexico late Wed will push into
the SW Gulf Wed night. Strong winds behind the front will funnel
across the Isthmus of Tehuantepec. Winds are expected increase 
to gale force over the Gulf of Tehuantepec by Thu night, then the
gales are forecast to persist through Sun night with the 
strongest pulses during the overnight and early morning hours in 
conjunction with nocturnal drainage flow.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Strong to near gale force winds will prevail over the Papagayo 
Region through Sun night. Once again, a large area of fresh to 
strong NE to E winds is forecast to extend SW and downwind of the
Papagayo region to beyond 93W or 94W on Sat. Swell generated by 
the Tehuantepec and Papagayo gap wind events are expected to 
impact the offshore waters off Guatemala and El Salvador. 

Fresh N winds pulsing over and downwind of the Gulf of Panama 
during the overnight and early morning hours will become strong 
Sat night.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Low pres near the Hawaiian Islands has begun to weaken. As it
does so, the pres gradient between the weakening low and high
pres over the eastern N Pacific will relax. This will allow winds
to decrease N of the ITCZ over the trade-wind belt W of 120W
during the next few days.

$$
CAM