000
AXPZ20 KNHC 080920
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Sat Feb 8 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
0900 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 06N77W to 05N85W to 06N95W. The 
ITCZ continues from 06N95W to 05N114W to 06N140W. No significant 
convection is noted at this time.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Gentle to moderate winds prevail over the entire forecast area 
this morning, with offshore seas generally 5-6 ft. Little change 
is expected through tonight. An approaching low pressure will 
move south of California on Sun, and induce fresh to strong SW 
winds Sun afternoon through early Mon in the northern Gulf of 
California, followed by strengthening winds and building seas in 
NW swell west of Baja California Sun night through Mon night.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Light to gentle winds prevail across most of the forecast waters 
this morning, except for fresh winds in the Papagayo and Gulf of 
Panama regions with offshore seas mainly 4-5 ft. Fresh to strong 
winds will pulse across the Papagayo region through Mon night, 
and remain fresh through the middle of next week. Fresh winds 
will pulse over the Gulf of Panama region through Sun night, 
then diminish slightly early next week.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A surface ridge extends from near 30N130W southeastward toward 
the Revillagigedo Islands. Moderate to fresh trade winds will 
continue between the ITCZ and 20N, west of 115W. Combined seas 
in this region are generally 7-9 ft. Trade winds will remain 
fresh west of 125W today, then diminish later in the weekend. 

A slow moving frontal system will approach the far NW waters 
this weekend and stall west of 140W early next week. Strong SE 
winds east of the front will build seas to 8-11 ft north of 20N 
and west of 135W Sun through Mon night. Looking ahead, NW swell 
will build seas to 9-12 west of 130W Tue through Wed. 

Expect increasing winds and building seas in NW to N swell in 
the waters north of 20N and east of 120W Sun through Mon night 
as a weakening low pressure system moves SE into the region.

$$
Mundell