000
AXPZ20 KNHC 080300
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0300 UTC Sat Feb 8 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0230 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 06N77W to 06N100W. The ITCZ 
extends from 06N100W to 06N110W to 04N121W to 05N129W to beyond 
05N140W. No significant convection is noted at this time.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Wind speeds off the coast of Jalisco are diminishing this evening
as the local offshore pressure gradient relaxes. Generally,
moderate winds prevail over the waters north of Cabo Corrientes,
while light and variable winds are found over the southern 
Mexico offshore waters.

Fresh winds will briefly pulse over the Gulf of Tehuantepec
tonight and Sat night. An approaching low pressure system will
result in strong SW winds late Sun and Sun night in the northern
Gulf of California, followed by strengthening winds and building
seas west of Baja California late Sun night through Mon night. 
Associated NW swell will propagate across the Baja California 
waters through mid week while gradually decaying. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Light to gentle winds prevail across most of the forecast waters
this evening, except for fresh gap winds in the Papagayo and Gulf
of Panama regions. Wave heights remain less than 8 ft.

Fresh to strong winds will continue across the Papagayo region
tonight through Mon night, then remain fresh through the middle
of next week. Fresh to locally strong winds will pulse over the 
Gulf of Panama region tonight through Sun night, then diminish
slightly early next week.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A surface ridge extends from near 30N130W southeastward toward 
the Revillagigedo Islands. Moderate to fresh trade winds likely 
continue between the ITCZ and 20N, west of 115W. Combined seas 
in this region are generally 7-9 ft, based on earlier altimeter 
data. These trade winds will remain fresh west of 125W tonight
into Sat, then diminish later this weekend. 

A frontal system will slowly approach the far NW waters this
weekend and stall west of 140W early next week. Strong S to SE 
winds east of the front will build seas to 8-11 ft roughly north
of 20N and west of 135W Sun through Mon night. Looking ahead, a 
set of NW swell will build seas greater than 8 ft in the waters 
west of 130W Tue through Wed. 

Elsewhere, expect increasing winds and building seas in NW 
to N swell in the waters north of 20N and east of 130W Sun 
through Mon night as a weakening low pressure system moves SE 
into the region.

$$
Reinhart