000
AXPZ20 KNHC 071529
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1337 UTC Fri Feb 7 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1440 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 08N75W to 02N79W to 05N92W to 05N113W.
The ITCZ continues from 05N113W to 04N119W to beyond 08N140W. No
significant convection is currently associated with these
features.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Relatively tranquil weather is expected over the forecast waters
through Sat night. Fresh northerly winds will continue adjacent
to the the coast of Jalisco today, then diminish tonight. Seas 
will continue subsiding west of Baja California as northerly 
swell decays. High pressure over the western Gulf of Mexico will 
induce a brief pulse of fresh northerly winds across the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec this morning. An approaching cold front will produce 
fresh to strong SW winds Sun night and Mon in the northern Gulf 
of California, followed by increased winds and building seas west
of Baja California Mon and Mon night.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Light to gentle winds prevail across most of the forecast area, 
with wave heights remaining 4 to 7 ft across the region. Winds 
across the Papagayo region overnight will pulse to strong Sat 
through Mon night, and fresh winds will continue pulsing over 
the Gulf of Panama region through Mon night.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A surface ridge extending from 31N128W to near 15N110W will
remain in place through Tue. Moderate to fresh trade winds will 
prevail west of 115W and north of the ITCZ through Tue, then
winds could strengthen in response to a building ridge to the N.
Combined seas are running 7 to 9 ft in this region as wind waves
combined with decaying NW to N swell. A mid to upper-level low 
centered over the far NW waters is producing no significant 
weather over this area.

A frontal boundary will approach the far NW waters and stall 
west of 140W this weekend. S to SE winds will become strong and
cause seas to build to between 8 and 10 ft N of 20N and west of 
135W Sun through Mon night. Elsewhere, expect increasing winds 
and building seas in NW to N swell for the waters N of 20N and E
of 130W Sun through Mon as a weak cold front moves SE across the
region.

$$
CAM