000
AXPZ20 KNHC 070900
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Fri Feb 7 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
0900 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 03N78W to 03N93W to 05N113W. The 
ITCZ continues from 05N113W to 07N126W to 10N140W. Scattered 
moderate convection is noted within 60 nm south of the trough 
between 87W and 99W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Fresh northerly winds will continue over the southern Gulf of 
California and west of the coast of Jalisco today, then diminish 
tonight. Seas will continue subsiding west of Baja California as 
northerly swell decays. High pressure over the western Gulf of 
Mexico will induce a brief pulse of fresh northerly winds across 
the Gulf of Tehuantepec this morning. An approaching cold front 
will produce fresh to strong SW winds Sun night and Mon in the 
northern Gulf of California, followed by increased winds and 
building seas west of Baja California Mon and Mon night.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Light to gentle winds prevail across most of the forecast area, 
with wave heights remaining 4 to 7 ft across the region. Winds 
across the Papagayo region overnight will pulse to strong Sat 
through Mon night, and fresh winds will continue pulsing over 
the Gulf of Panama region through early next week.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A surface ridge from 31N130W to near 18N110W will change only 
slightly during the next several days. Moderate to fresh trade 
winds will prevail west of 115W north of the ITCZ. Seas are 7 to 
9 ft within this region from wind waves and decaying N swell. A 
mid-level low pressure system persists over far NW waters, but 
no significant marine conditions are associated with it.

A cold front will approach the NW waters and stall west of 140W 
this weekend, and strengthen S to SE winds with increased seas 
west of 135W. Elsewhere, expect increasing winds and building 
seas in NW to N swell over the northern waters Sun through Mon 
as a weak cold front moves southward into the region.

$$
Mundell