000
AXPZ20 KNHC 061549
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1358 UTC Thu Feb 6 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1440 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 09N75W to 01N82W to 04N87W to 
05N117W. The ITCZ continues from 05N117W to 08N129W to beyond 
07N140W. A broad mid to upper-level trough W of 140W is 
supporting scattered moderate convection in the vicinity of the 
ITCZ within 90 nm either side of a line from 12N123W to 
05.5N140W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Strong NW to N winds will focus today along the coast of 
Jalisco, in response to an area of low pressure over interior 
Mexico , then remain fresh tonight. Decaying N swell will allow 
seas west of Baja California to diminish 1 to 2 ft during the 
next few days. An approaching cold front could usher in strong 
winds Sun night and Mon over northern parts of the Gulf of 
California. High pressure building in behind a cold front over 
the western Gulf of Mexico will generate strong N winds over the 
Gulf of Tehuantepec Fri. Model guidance indicates winds will peak
around 25 kt Fri morning, then diminish Fri night. Seas in this 
area should peak around 8 ft Fri afternoon. Gentle to moderate 
winds are expected elsewhere through the weekend.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Fresh winds funneling across Central America over the Papagayo 
and Gulf of Panama regions will continue this morning. Winds will
become strong across the Papagayo region Sat night, then continue
through Tue. Gentle to moderate winds will prevail elsewhere as
seas range between 5 and 8 ft through early next week.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Seas from 08N to 22N and west of 115W are running 8 to 9 ft as
wind waves generated by fresh trade winds combine with decaying 
NE and NW swell. The pressure gradient over the trade wind belt will
relax through Sat as high pressure N of the area weakens. This
will allow marine conditions in this region to gradually 
improve. A cold front will approach the NW waters by the end of 
the weekend, with fresh to strong SE winds and higher seas 
developing west of 135W in northern waters.

$$
CAM