000
AXPZ20 KNHC 060915
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Thu Feb 6 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
0900 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A trough axis extends from 02N79W to 05N87W to 05N111W to 
08N122W. The ITCZ continues from 08N122W to 08N132W to 07N140W. 
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N to 11N between 
115W and 140W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

North to northwest winds will increase this morning off the 
coast of Jalisco, in response to low pressure over northern 
Mexico near 25N101W, and remain fresh through tonight. Decaying 
N swell west of Baja California will diminish to 6-7 ft later 
today. An approaching cold front may lead to strong winds Sun 
night and Mon over northern parts of the Gulf of California.
High pressure behind a cold front in the western Gulf of Mexico 
will induce strong northerly winds in the Gulf of Tehuantepec 
tonight. Model guidance indicates winds will peak around 25 kt 
Fri morning, then diminish Fri night, with resultant seas to 7-8 
ft expected Fri afternoon. Gentle to moderate winds are expected 
elsewhere through the weekend.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

Fresh winds funneling across Central America into the Papagayo 
and Gulf of Panama regions will continue this morning. Fresh to 
strong winds will redevelop across the Papagayo region Sat night 
and continue through Tue. Gentle to moderate winds will prevail 
elsewhere through the weekend. Seas are expected to remain below 
8 ft through Sat. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Seas north of 10N and west of 115W are 8 to 9 ft in combined 
wind waves generated by fresh trade winds and decaying N to NE 
swell. The pressure gradient will relax through Sat as high 
pressure north of the area weakens, and marine conditions will 
gradually improve. A cold front will approach NW waters by the 
end of the weekend, with fresh to strong winds and higher seas 
developing west of 135W in northern waters.

$$
Mundell