000 AXPZ20 KNHC 052033 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 2011 UTC Wed Feb 5 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2015 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... A trough axis extends from 06N77W to 04N87W to 06N103W. The ITCZ then extends from 06N103W to 08N116W to 06N130W to beyond 05N140W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is located from 06N to 12N between 110W and 130W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Fresh to locally strong NW winds are indicated by midday scatterometer passes over the Gulf of California, and these shouldcontinue through this evening due to a tight pressure gradient between high pressure centered NW of the area and a 1003 mb low pressure in the northern Mexican state of Chihuahua. As this low moves SE, winds will diminish tonight. Decaying swell will support 8 to 9 ft seas W of Baja California into early Thu, before waves will diminish further. An approaching cold front could bring some fresh to strong SW winds ahead of it in the northern Gulf of California starting late Sun. As the aforementioned low pressure moves SE and strengthens, fresh to strong N winds will develop offshore Jalisco tonight that will prevail into Thu evening. As a cold front enters S Mexico and high pressure builds toward the region, strong N gap winds will evolve in the Gulf of Tehuantepec Thu night. Some near gale force winds are possible Fri, before winds diminish early Sat morning. Otherwise, gentle to moderate winds are expected elsewhere through the weekend. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Fresh to locally strong winds funneling across Central America into the Papagayo and Gulf of Panama regions are expected tonight. These winds will diminish some, until high pressure building into the Caribbean will allow more fresh to strong winds to funnel into these areas Fri night through at least the weekend. These winds may lead to 8 to 10 ft seas downwind of the Papagayo region over the weekend. Aside from the Papagayo and Gulf of Panama regions, gentle to moderate winds will prevail through the weekend due to an overall weak pressure gradient. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Seas N of the ITCZ range from 8 to 10 feet due to a combination of moderate to fresh trade winds and decaying N swell. As the pressure gradient between the ITCZ and high pressure to the N weakens into the weekend, conditions will improve. A cold front may approach areas N of 25N by the end of the weekend, and this cold lead to some fresh to strong winds and higher seas into early next week. $$ KONARIK