000
AXPZ20 KNHC 050910
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Wed Feb 5 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
0900 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A trough axis extends from 07N77W to 06N81W to 08N87W to 06N96W.
The ITCZ continues from 06N96W to 09N111W to 06N126W to beyond 
05N140W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted 
from 07N to 10N between 113W and 119W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Fresh to strong NW winds are expected in the Gulf of California 
today, associated with the gradient between high pressure west 
of Baja California and a 1004 mb low in northen Mexico. Winds 
will diminish tonight as the low shifts eastward. High pressure 
behind a cold front in the western Gulf of Mexico will induce 
strong northerly gap winds in the Gulf of Tehuantepec Thu night, 
and peaking around 25-30 kt by early Fri. Gentle to moderate 
winds are expected elsewhere through the weekend.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

A fairly weak pressure pattern will prevail across the forecast 
area through the weekend. Fresh to locally strong winds over the 
Papagayo and Gulf of Panama regions will diminish later today as 
the pressure gradient over the western Caribbean relaxes.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A ridge axis extending from high pressure N of the area centered 
near 37N135W to near 18N115W is supporting fresh to occasionally 
strong trade winds north of the ITCZ and west of 130W. Seas in 
this area are 8 to 11 ft. The high will remain nearly stationary 
and slowly weaken through Fri. Marine conditions will gradually 
improve across the forecast area the remainder of the week as 
the ridge weakens.

$$
Mundell