000
AXPZ20 KNHC 042047
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2045 UTC Tue Feb 4 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2030 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A trough axis extends from 06N77W to 04N80W to 07N85W to 05N95W.
The ITCZ extends from 05N95W to 07N110W to 05N128W to beyond
05N140W. Numerous moderate scattered strong convection is located
from 02N to 05N between 79W and 86W. Scattered moderate isolated
strong convection is noted from 04N to 11N W of 135W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A dissipating cold front extends through the middle Gulf of
California. Midday scatterometer pass revealed strong NW winds to
the N of this front over the northern Gulf. Even though the front
will dissipate, these winds will persist through Wed as high
pressure centered over the Great Basin build S. Fresh N winds N
of Punta Eugenia this afternoon, also depicted on a scatterometer
pass, will diminish overnight. NW swell generated by gales off 
the California coast will impact Pacific waters offshore Baja 
California into Wednesday, with seas of up to 12 feet diminishing
to around 8 ft during this time.
 
For Mexican waters south of the Gulf, light to gentle winds will
prevail. Fresh to locally strong N gap winds are possible Thu
night in the Gulf of Tehuantepec.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

In general, a weak pressure pattern is leading to light to gentle
winds. The exceptions are in the Papagayo region and the Gulf of
Panama, where fresh to locally strong gay winds are occurring. 
These winds should pulse each night through Wed night. To the S 
of a trough of low pressure, for Ecuadorian waters, moderate S 
winds are occurring.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A ridge axis extends from 1036 mb high pressure centered near
38N135W SE to near 19N120W. Tight pressure gradient south of this
ridge is supporting fresh to locally strong trade winds N of the
ITCZ and W of 125W. Seas in this area are 8 to 10 ft. As the
ridge weakens, conditions will improve for the rest of the week.

$$
KONARIK