000
AXPZ20 KNHC 041605
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1521 UTC Tue Feb 4 2020

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1515 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A trough axis extends from 06N77W to 04N80W to 07N85W to 05N96W.
The ITCZ begins near 05N96W to 07N110W to 05N130W to 05N140W. 
Numerous moderate to strong convection from 1.5N to 04N between 
79W and 86W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection from 
05N to 13N W of 136W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

The tail of a weakening cold front extends from 27N110W to
26N113W. Fresh to strong NW winds are behind the front, across 
the northern Gulf of California. Strong winds will continue and
extend across the remainder gulf through Wed as a center of high
pressure remain nearly stationary over the Great Basin area. A
strong pressure gradient between a broad area of low pressure
over New Mexico and Texas and a strong broad ridge W of the Baja
California offshores will continue to support fresh NW winds N of
Punta Eugenia through this evening. However, NW swell will
continue to support seas in the range of 8-11 ft across the Baja
offshores through Wed evening. 

The front will dissipate later today near Cabo San Lucas.
Otherwise, gentle to moderate NE winds W of Baja will diminish 
to light to gentle winds Thu through Sat as the area of low 
pressure moves eastward, thus loosening the pressure gradient 
over the region.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, AND 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... 

A weak pressure pattern continues, with tranquil winds noted 
across the offshore waters, except for fresh to strong gap winds 
over the Papagayo and Gulf of Panama regions. Fresh to strong
NE winds will prevail in the Gulf of Papagayo through Wed. Strong
winds in the Gulf of Panama will continue through early this 
afternoon.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A ridge axis extends from 1036 mb high pressure centered near 
38N136W to near 19N120W. The pres gradient south of the ridge is
supporting fresh to strong trade winds from 14N to 25N W of 
130W, with seas of 8-10 ft in mixed NW and NE swell. The ridge 
will weaken through Thu night, with trades gradually diminishing.
Long period NW swell dominates the rest of the forecast waters, 
with seas 8 ft or greater covering much of the area north of 25N.
Swell will continue to diminish through Thu morning.

$$
Ramos